{"id":79550,"date":"2024-09-18T05:50:03","date_gmt":"2024-09-18T09:50:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/pirates-vs-cardinals-game-time-9-18-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-09-18T23:53:03","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T03:53:03","slug":"pirates-vs-cardinals-game-time-9-18-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/pirates-vs-cardinals-game-time-9-18-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates vs Cardinals Game Time – 9\/18\/2024"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+180<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-210<\/span><\/div>\n

As the St. Louis Cardinals prepare to host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Busch Stadium on September 18, 2024, both teams find themselves in a National League Central matchup that carries more pride than promise. The Cardinals, sitting at 76-75, have had an average season, while the Pirates, with a 71-80 record, are facing a below-average year. <\/p>\n

In their last outing on September 17, the Cardinals came out on top with a 3-1 victory against the Pirates. Sonny Gray, the Cardinals\u2019 ace and ranked as the 23rd best starting pitcher in MLB, will take the mound. Despite his strong showing this year, with a 13-9 record and a 3.75<\/a> ERA, Gray’s peripherals suggest he\u2019s been a bit unlucky. His 2.83 xFIP indicates he could perform even better. Gray’s ability to miss bats (30.2 K%) lines up well against a Pirates offense that ranks 5th in the league in strikeouts. <\/p>\n

The Pirates counter with Jake Woodford, who has struggled with an 8.01<\/a> ERA, marking him among the worst starters this season. His last start was a blowout, allowing 7 runs over just 3 innings. Even though his xFIP of 4.97 suggests some bad luck, he\u2019ll need to find his rhythm quickly against a Cardinals offense ranked 20th overall. <\/p>\n

Offensively, the Cardinals will lean on the consistent power of Paul Goldschmidt and the recent hot streak of Jordan Walker, who boasts a .294 average and 2 homers over the past week. Meanwhile, the Pirates’ Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot, maintaining a .280<\/a> average for the season and a .348 clip over the last week. <\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jake Woodford has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 8.01 figure is a fair amount higher than his 5.15 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Joey Bart – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Joey Bart has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 \u2014 a .048 difference.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Joey Bart – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Joey Bart pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% \u2014 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Sonny Gray – Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Sonny Gray\u2019s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2415 rpm) has been a considerable dropoff from than his seasonal rate (2515 rpm).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Lars Nootbaar – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Lars Nootbaar has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past week’s worth of games.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The St. Louis Cardinals (20.6 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone batting order of all teams on the slate.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units \/ 68% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – Run Line +1.5 (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 64 of their last 117 games (+8.72 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Rowdy Tellez – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units \/ 111% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        As the St. Louis Cardinals prepare to host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Busch Stadium on September 18, 2024, both teams find themselves in a National League Central matchup that carries… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":79551,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,479,273,267,270,306,73,263,519,9,272,67,17,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-79550","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-joey-wentz","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-michael-a-taylor","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-paul-goldschmidt","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-score","tag-sonny-gray","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"\nPirates vs Cardinals Game Time - 9\/18\/2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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