{"id":76438,"date":"2024-09-15T03:45:03","date_gmt":"2024-09-15T07:45:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/top-player-prop-picks-for-rays-vs-guardians-september-15-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-09-15T23:43:02","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T03:43:02","slug":"top-player-prop-picks-for-rays-vs-guardians-september-15-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/top-player-prop-picks-for-rays-vs-guardians-september-15-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Top Player Prop Picks for Rays vs Guardians &#8211; September 15, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TB.png\" alt=\"Tampa Bay Rays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Tampa Bay Rays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CLE.png\" alt=\"Cleveland Guardians logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cleveland Guardians<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+110<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-130<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Cleveland Guardians and the Tampa Bay Rays are set to face off in a crucial matchup on September 15, 2024, at Progressive Field. With the Guardians sporting an impressive record of 85-64, they are in a strong position as they look to solidify their place in the postseason. Meanwhile, the Rays sit at 73-76, having had a season that can be described as average. This game marks the fourth meeting in their series, adding an extra layer of intensity to the matchup.<\/p>\n<p>In their last game, the Guardians showcased their offensive potential but fell short, highlighting the need to bounce back against a struggling Rays team. The Guardians are projected to start Ben Lively, a right-handed pitcher with a Win\/Loss record of 11-9 and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.01<\/a>. While Lively ranks as the 209th best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball, his strength lies in facing a Rays offense that has struggled to make consistent contact, ranking 5th in the league for most strikeouts.<\/p>\n<p>On the other side, the Rays will send out Jeffrey Springs, a left-handed pitcher. Despite the Guardians\u2019 offensive inconsistency, they have ranked 16th best in the league, performing slightly better than the Rays\u2019 dismal 26th ranking. <\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, projections suggest that the Guardians may outperform their implied win probability of 56%, as they aim to capitalize on the Rays&#8217; offensive struggles and Lively&#8217;s ability to manage fly balls effectively against a power-deficient lineup. With a Game Total set at 8.0 runs, bettors looking for value may find the Guardians a safer bet, especially given their superior bullpen ranked 4th in the league.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Tampa Bay Rays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Taj Bradley &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Taj Bradley&#8217;s change-up rate has increased by 13.4% from last season to this one (13.9% to 27.3%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ben Rortvedt &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ben Rortvedt&#8217;s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 86.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 79.6-mph in the last two weeks.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tampa Bay has performed as the #30 squad in Major League Baseball when it comes to hitting balls between -4\u00b0 and 26\u00b0, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (40.7% rate this year).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Balls that are hit either too high or too low can easy to field, but balls hit between -4\u00b0 and 26\u00b0 are far more likely to become base hits.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cleveland Guardians Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cleveland Guardians &#8211;  Moneyline (-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of all the teams playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jose Ramirez &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#2-best on the slate today).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team&#8217;s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cleveland Guardians &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Cleveland Guardians bullpen ranks as the 4th-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+9.60 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.95 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Steven Kwan &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-145\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 27 games (+7.35 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.13.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Cleveland Guardians and the Tampa Bay Rays are set to face off in a crucial matchup on September 15, 2024, at Progressive Field. With the Guardians sporting an impressive&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":76439,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[6,308,123,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,307,25],"class_list":["post-76438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-cleveland-guardians","tag-jose-siri","tag-josh-naylor","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-taj-bradley","tag-tampa-bay-rays"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Top Player Prop Picks for Rays vs Guardians - September 15, 2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians matchup on September 15, 2024. 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