{"id":73950,"date":"2024-09-13T06:31:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-13T10:31:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/get-expert-player-predictions-for-rangers-vs-mariners-friday-september-13-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-09-13T23:57:03","modified_gmt":"2024-09-14T03:57:03","slug":"get-expert-player-predictions-for-rangers-vs-mariners-friday-september-13-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/get-expert-player-predictions-for-rangers-vs-mariners-friday-september-13-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Get Expert Player Predictions for Rangers vs Mariners &#8211; Friday September 13, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TEX.png\" alt=\"Texas Rangers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Texas Rangers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-135<\/span><span>O\/U: 7<br \/>(-105\/-115)<\/span><span>+115<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Seattle Mariners host the Texas Rangers at T-Mobile Park on September 13, 2024, both teams are looking to find their footing in an American League West matchup. Following a narrow 5-4 loss to the Rangers the previous day, the Mariners are currently sitting at 74-73, while the Rangers are struggling at 71-76. This game marks the second in the series, and with both teams underperforming relative to their expectations, every game counts.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, Emerson Hancock is projected to start for the Mariners. Despite his 3-4 record and a below-average ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.76<\/a>, his projections suggest he could allow only 2.3 earned runs today, indicating potential for a solid outing. However, his advanced stats, including a concerning 6.16 xERA, hint that he may have been fortunate thus far. In contrast, the Rangers will counter with Jacob deGrom, one of the elite pitchers in the league, ranked 4th overall. DeGrom&#8217;s projections show he could allow just 1.2 earned runs, making him a tough challenge for the Mariners\u2019 struggling offense.<\/p>\n<p>Seattle\u2019s offense has been lackluster all season, ranking 24th overall in MLB, and they sit dead last in team batting average. In contrast, the Rangers rank 23rd in offense but have shown slightly better form. With low implied team totals of 3.34 runs for the Mariners and 3.66 runs for the Rangers, this game is expected to be a tight contest. <\/p>\n<p>According to the leading MLB projection system, the Mariners are projected as underdogs, but with Hancock&#8217;s potential for a surprising performance and the Rangers\u2019 overall struggles, this matchup remains unpredictable.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Texas Rangers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jacob deGrom &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jacob deGrom&#8217;s 98.1-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 100th percentile among all SPs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Marcus Semien &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Marcus Semien&#8217;s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 87.2-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.7-mph in the past week.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nate Lowe &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball&#8217;s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Emerson Hancock &#8211; Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Emerson Hancock to throw 84 pitches in today&#8217;s game (14th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Julio Rodriguez &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez&#8217;s true offensive talent to be a .358, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .056 difference between that figure and his actual .302 wOBA.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Emerson Hancock &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.0 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+11.95 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Texas Rangers &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+14.00 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Josh Jung &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+13.00 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.5.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Seattle Mariners host the Texas Rangers at T-Mobile Park on September 13, 2024, both teams are looking to find their footing in an American League West matchup. Following&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":73951,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[319,758,295,38,73,403,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,4,28],"class_list":["post-73950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-emerson-hancock","tag-jacob-degrom","tag-jonah-heim","tag-julio-rodriguez","tag-mlb","tag-nate-lowe","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-texas-rangers"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Get Expert Player Predictions for Rangers vs Mariners - Friday September 13, 2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners matchup on September 13, 2024. 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