{"id":62109,"date":"2024-09-01T03:15:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-01T07:15:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/discover-current-player-trends-for-royals-vs-astros-9-1-24\/"},"modified":"2024-09-01T14:04:02","modified_gmt":"2024-09-01T18:04:02","slug":"discover-current-player-trends-for-royals-vs-astros-9-1-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/discover-current-player-trends-for-royals-vs-astros-9-1-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Discover Current Player Trends for Royals vs Astros – 9\/1\/24"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Kansas<\/p>\n

Kansas City Royals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Houston<\/p>\n

Houston Astros<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+135<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-105\/-115)<\/span>-155<\/span><\/div>\n

As the Houston Astros prepare to host the Kansas City Royals on September 1, 2024, both teams find themselves in a tight race for postseason positioning. The Astros currently hold a record of 74-62, while the Royals sit slightly ahead at 75-62. With both teams enjoying above-average seasons, today’s matchup carries significant weight in the American League landscape.<\/p>\n

In their last encounter on August 31, the Astros secured a 5-2 victory over the Royals, showcasing their offensive prowess. Yordan Alvarez continues to be a key player, leading the Astros with a stellar season highlighted by a .312 batting average and 28 home runs. Over the past week, he has been particularly hot, batting .435 with three home runs and ten hits in six games.<\/p>\n

On the mound, the Astros will start Ronel Blanco, who has been solid with a 3.14 ERA<\/a> this season. However, his 4.15 xFIP suggests he may have benefitted from some luck, and his high walk rate of 9.8% could pose challenges against a Royals lineup that ranks 4th in the league for fewest walks taken. Blanco’s last outing was impressive, pitching six innings with only two earned runs allowed.<\/p>\n

The Royals counter with Alec Marsh, who has struggled this season with a 4.67 ERA<\/a>. Marsh is projected to pitch just 4.9 innings today, and his numbers indicate he may be vulnerable against a potent Astros offense that ranks 2nd in batting average and 9th in home runs.<\/p>\n

Given the projections favoring the Astros, who are listed as -155 favorites, they are expected to capitalize on their home-field advantage and continue their strong play against a Royals bullpen ranked 21st in the league. With a game total set at 8.5 runs, this matchup promises to be an exciting contest as both teams vie for crucial victories down the stretch.<\/p>\n

Kansas City Royals Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Alec Marsh – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Alec Marsh’s 2506-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 93rd percentile out of all starters.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Freddy Fermin – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-190\/+145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Freddy Fermin has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .293 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Kansas City Royals – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Kansas City Royals bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Houston Astros Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Ronel Blanco – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Compared to the average pitcher, Ronel Blanco has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 3.8 adjusted pitches each start.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Ben Gamel – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Ben Gamel is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jose Altuve – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% \u2014 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 79 of their last 135 games (+20.35 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.05 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Yordan Alvarez – Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+12.80 Units \/ 60% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        As the Houston Astros prepare to host the Kansas City Royals on September 1, 2024, both teams find themselves in a tight race for postseason positioning. The Astros currently hold… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62110,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[29,401,5,73,327,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,161,665],"class_list":["post-62109","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-houston-astros","tag-jose-altuve","tag-kansas-city-royals","tag-mlb","tag-paul-dejong","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-ronel-blanco","tag-victor-caratini"],"yoast_head":"\nDiscover Current Player Trends for Royals vs Astros - 9\/1\/24 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros matchup on September 1, 2024. 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