{"id":61084,"date":"2024-08-31T04:53:03","date_gmt":"2024-08-31T08:53:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/watch-the-brewers-vs-reds-game-highlights-august-31st-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-08-31T20:13:02","modified_gmt":"2024-09-01T00:13:02","slug":"watch-the-brewers-vs-reds-game-highlights-august-31st-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/watch-the-brewers-vs-reds-game-highlights-august-31st-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Watch the Brewers vs Reds Game Highlights &#8211; August 31st, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/MIL.png\" alt=\"Milwaukee Brewers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Milwaukee Brewers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CIN.png\" alt=\"Cincinnati Reds logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-135<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+115<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers prepare for their matchup on August 31, 2024, the stakes remain high, particularly for the Brewers, who are looking to maintain their strong position in the National League Central. Currently, the Brewers hold a record of 79-56, while the Reds are struggling at 64-72, marking a below-average season. In their previous game on August 30, the Reds were blanked by the Brewers in a shocking 14-0 loss, indicative of the disparity between the two clubs.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, Cincinnati will send out right-hander Fernando Cruz, who has had a tumultuous year with a 3-8 record and a troubling 5.17 ERA. Despite being ranked as the 89th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, he has shown signs of being unlucky with a much lower xFIP of 2.96. However, Cruz\u2019s inconsistency could be trouble against a Brewers lineup that has a penchant for patience, ranking third in the league in walks.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, Milwaukee will counter with Frankie Montas, who has posted a 6-9 record and a 4.64 ERA this season. While his numbers suggest he&#8217;s having an average year, Montas&#8217;s ability to work deep into games\u2014projected for 5.5 innings\u2014could expose a Reds bullpen ranked 25th in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The projections suggest that Cincinnati will score about 4.60 runs, while Milwaukee is expected to notch around 5.26 runs. With betting markets displaying a close game outlook, the Reds may face an uphill battle in recovering from their previous day\u2019s setback. <\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Milwaukee Brewers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Frankie Montas &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Frankie Montas has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.93 K\/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.89 \u2014 a 0.96 K\/9 gap.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value on K prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jackson Chourio &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jackson Chourio has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph mark.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Bauers, Blake Perkins, Garrett Mitchell).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cincinnati Reds &#8211;  Moneyline (+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams playing today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dominic Smith &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.2) suggests that Dominic Smith has suffered from bad luck this year with his 11.9 actual HR\/600.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cincinnati Reds &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Cincinnati Reds bullpen profiles as the 8th-worst in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+9.20 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Milwaukee Brewers &#8211; Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 130 games (+12.35 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Santiago Espinal &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.24.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers prepare for their matchup on August 31, 2024, the stakes remain high, particularly for the Brewers, who are looking to maintain their strong&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61085,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,15,149,201,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,273,267,270,22,73,263,272,262,260,258,269,335],"class_list":["post-61084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-dominic-smith","tag-frankie-montas","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-milwaukee-brewers","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather","tag-william-contreras"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Watch the Brewers vs Reds Game Highlights - August 31st, 2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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