{"id":57492,"date":"2024-08-28T04:14:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-28T08:14:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/game-time-for-padres-vs-cardinals-8-28-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-08-28T19:46:03","modified_gmt":"2024-08-28T23:46:03","slug":"game-time-for-padres-vs-cardinals-8-28-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/game-time-for-padres-vs-cardinals-8-28-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Time for Padres vs Cardinals &#8211; 8\/28\/2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SD.png\" alt=\"San Diego Padres logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Diego Padres<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/STL.png\" alt=\"St. Louis Cardinals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-120<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+100<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the St. Louis Cardinals host the San Diego Padres on August 28, 2024, both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the standings. The Cardinals, currently sitting with a record of 65-67, are having an average season and are seeking to regain momentum after losing to the Padres 7-5 in their last matchup. Meanwhile, the Padres boast a solid 76-58 record, making a playoff push as they compete among the top teams in the National League.<\/p>\n<p>The matchup features two right-handed pitchers: Andre Pallante for the Cardinals and Joe Musgrove for the Padres. Pallante is currently ranked as the 71st best starting pitcher in MLB, an above-average designation, while Musgrove comes in slightly higher at 47th. Pallante&#8217;s most recent outing on August 23 was strong, allowing just one earned run over seven innings. In contrast, Musgrove also excelled in his last start, pitching seven shutout innings. Both pitchers will be aiming to deliver strong performances again.<\/p>\n<p>However, the Cardinals\u2019 offense has struggled this season, ranking 19th in MLB, particularly in home runs where they are 22nd. Andre Pallante&#8217;s low strikeout rate (17.9 K%) could pose challenges against the Padres&#8217; offense, known for its discipline and ranked as the 8th best in the league. <\/p>\n<p>Despite the close odds, the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X, sees the Cardinals as having slightly better chances than the betting lines suggest, projecting their win probability at 51%. This game could be key for the Cardinals to get back on track and prove they can compete against a strong Padres team.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Diego Padres Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Joe Musgrove &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Joe Musgrove has gone to his slider 7% more often this season (21.5%) than he did last season (14.5%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luis Arraez &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luis Arraez&#8217;s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph average last season has lowered to 87.5-mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Joe Musgrove &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Padres&#8217;s expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>St. Louis Cardinals &#8211;  Moneyline (+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pedro Pages &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Pedro Pages has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .287 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .252 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s interpretation of Statcast data.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">St. Louis Cardinals bats as a group rank 27th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 6.8% Barrel%.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 61 games (+3.80 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Diego Padres &#8211; Moneyline (-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games (+15.00 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Xander Bogaerts &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+9.25 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.1.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the St. Louis Cardinals host the San Diego Padres on August 28, 2024, both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the standings. The Cardinals, currently sitting with&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":57493,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[485,197,265,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,638,273,267,270,589,73,263,21,272,17,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-57492","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-alec-burleson","tag-andre-pallante","tag-boxscore","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-joe-musgrove","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-manny-machado","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-san-diego-padres","tag-score","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Game Time for Padres vs Cardinals - 8\/28\/2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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