{"id":530978,"date":"2026-09-27T04:37:03","date_gmt":"2026-09-27T08:37:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/explore-braves-vs-marlins-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-9-27-26\/"},"modified":"2026-09-27T23:42:03","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T03:42:03","slug":"explore-braves-vs-marlins-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-9-27-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/explore-braves-vs-marlins-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-9-27-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Explore Braves vs Marlins Expert Picks and Betting Tips &#8211; 9\/27\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Atlanta Braves logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Atlanta Braves<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/MIA.png\" alt=\"Miami Marlins logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Miami Marlins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+105<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-125<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Atlanta Braves Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>JR Ritchie &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">JR Ritchie was on point in his last game started and accumulated 7 strikeouts.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Austin Riley &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Austin Riley has big-time power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that&#8217;s never a sure thing (29.1% K%).  Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk has a pitch-to-contact profile (14th percentile K%) \u2014 great news for Riley.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> If he is less likely to strikeout, he&#8217;ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Atlanta Braves have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brewer Hicklen, Sean Murphy, DaShawn Keirsey Jr., Austin Riley).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Miami Marlins Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Janson Junk &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Janson Junk to throw 84 pitches today (13th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Esteury Ruiz &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Esteury Ruiz&#8217;s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 82.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 70-mph in the last 14 days.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Miami Marlins &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Miami Marlins bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Miami Marlins &#8211; Moneyline (-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.45 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+11.15 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Agustin Ramirez &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Agustin Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.11.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins +105O\/U: 8(-110\/-110)-125 Atlanta Braves Insights JR Ritchie &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105\/-135) JR Ritchie was on point in his last game started and accumulated 7&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":530979,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[937,10,283,286,287,289,288,284,285,925,1114,26,73,282,444,281],"class_list":["post-530978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-agustin-ramirez","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-janson-junk","tag-jr-ritchie","tag-miami-marlins","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-ozzie-albies","tag-picks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Explore Braves vs Marlins Expert Picks and Betting Tips - 9\/27\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins on September 27, 2026. 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