{"id":517142,"date":"2026-09-14T01:42:04","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T05:42:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/orioles-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-odds-9-14-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-09-14T23:57:02","modified_gmt":"2026-09-15T03:57:02","slug":"orioles-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-odds-9-14-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/orioles-vs-mets-picks-and-betting-odds-9-14-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Orioles vs Mets Picks and Betting Odds &#8211; 9\/14\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BAL.png\" alt=\"Baltimore Orioles logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Baltimore Orioles<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYM.png\" alt=\"New York Mets logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Mets<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+120<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-115\/-105)<\/span><span>-145<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Baltimore Orioles Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Baltimore Orioles &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Brandon Young was in good form in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Baltimore&#8217;s 89.7-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in Major League Baseball: #1 overall.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Mets Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jonah Tong &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jonah Tong has tallied 11.5 outs per start since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>A.J. Ewing &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">A.J. Ewing has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Juan Soto &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% \u2014 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game&#8217;s shallowest CF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.70 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Baltimore Orioles &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.50 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Juan Soto &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.50 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.16.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets +120O\/U: 8(-115\/-105)-145 Baltimore Orioles Insights Baltimore Orioles &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110) Brandon Young was in good form in his previous GS&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":517143,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1226,24,283,286,287,289,288,284,941,285,1014,501,73,33,282,281],"class_list":["post-517142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-a-j-ewing","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-brandon-young","tag-expert-picks","tag-jonah-tong","tag-juan-soto","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-odds","tag-picks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Orioles vs Mets Picks and Betting Odds - 9\/14\/2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets on September 14, 2026. 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