{"id":515997,"date":"2026-09-13T00:19:02","date_gmt":"2026-09-13T04:19:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/uncover-the-game-forecast-rockies-vs-tigers-head-to-head-analysis-9-13-26\/"},"modified":"2026-09-13T12:18:03","modified_gmt":"2026-09-13T16:18:03","slug":"uncover-the-game-forecast-rockies-vs-tigers-head-to-head-analysis-9-13-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/uncover-the-game-forecast-rockies-vs-tigers-head-to-head-analysis-9-13-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Uncover the Game Forecast: Rockies vs Tigers Head-to-Head Analysis 9\/13\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/COL.png\" alt=\"Colorado Rockies logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Colorado Rockies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/DET.png\" alt=\"Detroit Tigers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Detroit Tigers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+160<\/span><span>O\/U: 9<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-185<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Colorado Rockies Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Gabriel Hughes &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher&#8217;s least effective pitch.  Gabriel Hughes has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 60.9% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Zac Veen &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Zac Veen has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The underlying talent of the Colorado Rockies projected batting order today (.295 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably weaker than their .321 wOBA this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality.  If today&#8217;s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren&#8217;t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Detroit Tigers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jackson Jobe &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jackson Jobe&#8217;s 97.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.3-mph increase from last year&#8217;s 95.8-mph mark.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Detroit Tigers bats as a unit rank near the bottom of MLB this year ( 7th-worst) in regard to their 88.3-mph average exit velocity.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Detroit Tigers &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.95 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colorado Rockies &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>T.J. Rumfield &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150\/-195)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">T.J. Rumfield has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"1.9.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers +160O\/U: 9(-110\/-110)-185 Colorado Rockies Insights Gabriel Hughes &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110) Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher&#8217;s least effective pitch. Gabriel&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":515998,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,16,255,23,1190,250,248,251,241,808,242,249,243,73,246,239,240,253,245,252,244],"class_list":["post-515997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-colorado-rockies","tag-colt-keith","tag-detroit-tigers","tag-gabriel-hughes","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-insights","tag-jackson-jobe","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-mlb","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-score-prediction","tag-simulation","tag-team-stats","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Uncover the Game Forecast: Rockies vs Tigers Head-to-Head Analysis 9\/13\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers on September 13, 2026. 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