{"id":51139,"date":"2024-08-22T01:12:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-22T05:12:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/review-brewers-vs-cardinals-betting-line-and-odds-8-22-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-08-22T17:08:02","modified_gmt":"2024-08-22T21:08:02","slug":"review-brewers-vs-cardinals-betting-line-and-odds-8-22-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/review-brewers-vs-cardinals-betting-line-and-odds-8-22-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Review Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Line and Odds – 8\/22\/2024"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Milwaukee<\/p>\n

Milwaukee Brewers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-130<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-110\/-110)<\/span>+110<\/span><\/div>\n

The St. Louis Cardinals, currently sitting with a record of 62-64, are looking to build momentum after a recent victory against the Milwaukee Brewers, winning 10-6 on August 21, 2024. The Brewers, boasting a solid 73-53 record, are having a great season but will need to bounce back quickly in this pivotal matchup at Busch Stadium.<\/p>\n

Miles Mikolas is projected to take the mound for the Cardinals. While Mikolas has had an up-and-down year with an 8-10 record and a disappointing ERA of 5.41<\/a>, his advanced metrics suggest he has been somewhat unlucky. He faces a Brewers offense that ranks 10th in the league and has the 3rd most walks, which may be a challenge for Mikolas\u2019s low-walk approach (3.8 BB%). However, his recent start was rough, as he allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings against the Brewers just a week ago.<\/p>\n

Freddy Peralta, on the other hand, is expected to start for the Brewers. With an 8-7 record and a solid 4.00<\/a> ERA, Peralta has been effective this season. His recent performance also showcases his ability to limit damage, coming off a strong outing where he allowed just 1 earned run over 6 innings. According to the leading MLB projection system, the projections favor the Brewers to win, but they might not be able to capitalize on Mikolas\u2019s control issues as expected.<\/p>\n

As for the offenses, the Cardinals rank 19th overall but have shown signs of life recently, particularly with Alec Burleson leading the charge. Meanwhile, the Brewers possess a more potent offense, particularly in batting average, ranking 5th overall. With a game total set at a low 7.5 runs, bettors should expect another closely contested affair as both teams vie for crucial victories in this series.<\/p>\n

Milwaukee Brewers Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Freddy Peralta – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Freddy Peralta has relied on his curveball 7.6% less often this season (4.9%) than he did last season (12.5%).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jackson Chourio – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    As it relates to his home runs, Jackson Chourio has been very fortunate this year. His 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR\/600 at 15.3.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Rhys Hoskins – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% \u2014 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Miles Mikolas – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+140\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      In his last game started, Miles Mikolas turned in a great performance and accumulated 7 strikeouts.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Tommy Pham – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 20.5% underlying K%.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.40 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 120 games (+12.95 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Nolan Arenado – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190\/+145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+11.15 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        The St. Louis Cardinals, currently sitting with a record of 62-64, are looking to build momentum after a recent victory against the Milwaukee Brewers, winning 10-6 on August 21, 2024.… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":51140,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,285,334,521,152,22,73,282,519,281,553,17],"class_list":["post-51139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-freddy-peralta","tag-jackson-chourio","tag-miles-mikolas","tag-milwaukee-brewers","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-paul-goldschmidt","tag-picks","tag-rhys-hoskins","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"\nReview Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Line and Odds - 8\/22\/2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals on August 22, 2024. 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