{"id":509842,"date":"2026-09-07T04:00:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-07T08:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/picks-and-betting-guide-for-blue-jays-vs-athletics-monday-september-07-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-09-07T05:42:04","modified_gmt":"2026-09-07T09:42:04","slug":"picks-and-betting-guide-for-blue-jays-vs-athletics-monday-september-07-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/picks-and-betting-guide-for-blue-jays-vs-athletics-monday-september-07-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Picks and Betting Guide for Blue Jays vs Athletics &#8211; Monday, September 07, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATH.png\" alt=\"Athletics logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Athletics<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-205<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-105\/-115)<\/span><span>+175<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dylan Cease &#8211; Over\/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+160\/-210)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Dylan Cease has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 10.1 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starter.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ernie Clement &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ernie Clement has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.1-mph dropping to 79.9-mph in the last 14 days.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Toronto Blue Jays &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays&#8217; bullpen grades out as the 5th-best among all MLB teams.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Athletics Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jacob Lopez &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jacob Lopez has used his cut-fastball 6.2% more often this year (20.4%) than he did last season (14.2%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Donovan Walton &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Despite posting a .360 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Donovan Walton has been lucky given the .068 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Henry Bolte &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Today, Henry Bolte is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.1% rate (98th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Toronto Blue Jays &#8211; Moneyline (-205)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+6.90 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Zack Gelof &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+160\/-205)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Zack Gelof has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.14.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics -205O\/U: 8.5(-105\/-115)+175 Toronto Blue Jays Insights Dylan Cease &#8211; Over\/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+160\/-210) Dylan Cease has been given more leash than the typical pitcher&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":509843,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[796,283,286,287,289,288,284,1155,96,670,285,1177,682,73,282,281,31],"class_list":["post-509842","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-athletics","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-donovan-walton","tag-dylan-cease","tag-ernie-clement","tag-expert-picks","tag-henry-bolte","tag-jacob-lopez","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-toronto-blue-jays"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Picks and Betting Guide for Blue Jays vs Athletics - Monday, September 07, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics on September 7, 2026. 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