{"id":499294,"date":"2026-08-29T02:22:03","date_gmt":"2026-08-29T06:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-reds-vs-cubs-saturday-august-29th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-08-29T19:49:02","modified_gmt":"2026-08-29T23:49:02","slug":"expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-reds-vs-cubs-saturday-august-29th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-reds-vs-cubs-saturday-august-29th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Picks and Betting Line for Reds vs Cubs &#8211; Saturday August 29th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CIN.png\" alt=\"Cincinnati Reds logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+185<\/span><span>O\/U: 9.5<br \/>(-105\/-115)<\/span><span>-215<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Andrew Abbott &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Andrew Abbott has gone to his slider 5.6% more often this year (19.5%) than he did last year (13.9%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>TJ Friedl &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">TJ Friedl has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cincinnati Reds &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds&#8217; bullpen profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211;  Moneyline (-215)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pete Crow-Armstrong &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In today&#8217;s game, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42% rate (99th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; Run Line -1.5 (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cincinnati Reds &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.10 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Matt McLain &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-165\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Matt McLain has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.35 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.5.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs +185O\/U: 9.5(-105\/-115)-215 Cincinnati Reds Insights Andrew Abbott &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130\/+100) Andrew Abbott has gone to his slider 5.6% more often this year (19.5%)&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":499295,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[381,283,286,287,289,288,284,14,15,285,1234,73,282,484,281],"class_list":["post-499294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-andrew-abbott","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-expert-picks","tag-hector-rodriguez","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-pete-crow-armstrong","tag-picks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Expert Picks and Betting Line for Reds vs Cubs - Saturday August 29th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs on August 29, 2026. 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