{"id":494588,"date":"2026-08-25T05:39:08","date_gmt":"2026-08-25T09:39:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-trends-for-pirates-vs-padres-tuesday-august-25th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-08-25T23:52:04","modified_gmt":"2026-08-26T03:52:04","slug":"player-trends-for-pirates-vs-padres-tuesday-august-25th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-trends-for-pirates-vs-padres-tuesday-august-25th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Trends for Pirates vs Padres – Tuesday, August 25th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"San<\/p>\n

San Diego Padres<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+115<\/span>O\/U: 7
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-135<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Paul Skenes – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Paul Skenes’s high usage rate of his fastball (52% this year) is likely hurting his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Spencer Horwitz – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190\/+145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Over the last 14 days, Spencer Horwitz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen ranks as the 2nd-best out of all teams in the majors.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    San Diego Padres Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Michael King – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Michael King’s 92.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 19th percentile among all SPs.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 98.7-mph over the past 14 days.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% \u2014 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        San Diego Padres – Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.95 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Paul Skenes – Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Paul Skenes has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units \/ 73% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres +115O\/U: 7(-120\/+100)-135 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Paul Skenes – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120) Paul Skenes’s high usage rate of his fastball (52% this year) is… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":494589,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[770,816,73,130,9,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,21],"class_list":["post-494588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-fernando-tatis-jr","tag-jake-mangum","tag-mlb","tag-paul-skenes","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-san-diego-padres"],"yoast_head":"\nPlayer Trends for Pirates vs Padres - Tuesday, August 25th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres matchup on August 25, 2026. 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