{"id":492702,"date":"2026-08-23T05:02:03","date_gmt":"2026-08-23T09:02:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-predictions-for-pirates-vs-dodgers-august-23-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-08-23T16:22:04","modified_gmt":"2026-08-23T20:22:04","slug":"player-predictions-for-pirates-vs-dodgers-august-23-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-predictions-for-pirates-vs-dodgers-august-23-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Predictions for Pirates vs Dodgers – August 23, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Los<\/p>\n

Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+240<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-290<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+215)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Carmen Mlodzinski has gone to his change-up 14.4% more often this season (26%) than he did last year (11.6%).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Billy Cook – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Billy Cook is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Los Angeles (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Brandon Lowe – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% \u2014 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Blake Snell – Over\/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Blake Snell’s 95.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.1-mph jump from last year’s 94.5-mph mark.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Kyle Tucker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Over the past two weeks, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-290)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup grades out as the best on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Los Angeles Dodgers – Over\/Under 5.5 Team Total (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.15 Units \/ 60% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.65 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Max Muncy – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+290\/-420)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Max Muncy has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+6.85 Units \/ 137% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers +240O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)-290 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+215) Carmen Mlodzinski has gone to his change-up 14.4% more often… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":492703,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1145,8,73,420,131,9,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,725],"class_list":["post-492702","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-lake-bachar","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-mlb","tag-nick-gonzales","tag-oneil-cruz","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-tommy-edman"],"yoast_head":"\nPlayer Predictions for Pirates vs Dodgers - August 23, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers matchup on August 23, 2026. 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