{"id":492610,"date":"2026-08-23T01:14:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-23T05:14:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/learn-about-player-prop-odds-breakdown-for-rays-vs-orioles-sunday-august-23-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-08-23T23:44:02","modified_gmt":"2026-08-24T03:44:02","slug":"learn-about-player-prop-odds-breakdown-for-rays-vs-orioles-sunday-august-23-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/learn-about-player-prop-odds-breakdown-for-rays-vs-orioles-sunday-august-23-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Learn About Player Prop Odds Breakdown for Rays vs Orioles – Sunday August 23, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Tampa<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay Rays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Baltimore<\/p>\n

Baltimore Orioles<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-110<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay Rays Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Nick Martinez – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Nick Martinez has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches 5.3% less often this year (57%) than he did last season (62.3%).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Yandy Diaz – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Baltimore Orioles Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Shane Baz – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Shane Baz’s 95.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1-mph fall off from last year’s 96.3-mph mark.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jackson Holliday – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-215\/+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Baltimore Orioles have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Coby Mayo, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Colton Cowser).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Baltimore Orioles – Over\/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.45 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (+155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+9.90 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Gunnar Henderson – Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles -110O\/U: 8.5(-120\/+100)-110 Tampa Bay Rays Insights Nick Martinez – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105) It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":492611,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[24,607,73,520,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,25,449],"class_list":["post-492610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-jackson-holliday","tag-mlb","tag-nick-martinez","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-tampa-bay-rays","tag-yandy-diaz"],"yoast_head":"\nLearn About Player Prop Odds Breakdown for Rays vs Orioles - Sunday August 23, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles matchup on August 23, 2026. 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