{"id":484620,"date":"2026-08-16T00:22:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-16T04:22:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-the-orioles-vs-rays-best-bets-and-expert-picks-sunday-august-16-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-08-16T19:13:02","modified_gmt":"2026-08-16T23:13:02","slug":"check-out-the-orioles-vs-rays-best-bets-and-expert-picks-sunday-august-16-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-the-orioles-vs-rays-best-bets-and-expert-picks-sunday-august-16-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out the Orioles vs Rays Best Bets and Expert Picks – Sunday August 16, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Baltimore<\/p>\n

Baltimore Orioles<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Tampa<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay Rays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 7
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Baltimore Orioles Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Trevor Rogers – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Trevor Rogers’s 2473-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 88th percentile out of all starting pitchers.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jackson Holliday – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Baltimore Orioles have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colton Cowser, Coby Mayo, Christian Encarnacion-Strand).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Tampa Bay Rays Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Freddy Peralta – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Freddy Peralta has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 5.1 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Chandler Simpson – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165\/-220)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Chandler Simpson’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 83.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 79.4-mph in the past week.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      Tampa Bay Rays hitters as a unit place 29th- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 6.1% Barrel%.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (+155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+6.55 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Baltimore Orioles – Run Line +1.5 (-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.90 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Colton Cowser – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays +120O\/U: 7(-120\/+100)-140 Baltimore Orioles Insights Trevor Rogers – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130) Trevor Rogers’s 2473-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 88th… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":484621,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[24,283,286,287,289,288,284,911,285,334,73,282,281,25],"class_list":["post-484620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-coby-mayo","tag-expert-picks","tag-freddy-peralta","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-tampa-bay-rays"],"yoast_head":"\nCheck Out the Orioles vs Rays Best Bets and Expert Picks - Sunday August 16, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays on August 16, 2026. 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