{"id":475517,"date":"2026-08-09T00:13:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-09T04:13:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-reds-vs-nationals-8-09-26\/"},"modified":"2026-08-09T17:27:02","modified_gmt":"2026-08-09T21:27:02","slug":"check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-reds-vs-nationals-8-09-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-reds-vs-nationals-8-09-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Reds vs Nationals – 8\/09\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Cincinnati<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Washington<\/p>\n

Washington Nationals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+100<\/span>O\/U: 9
(-115\/-105)<\/span>-120<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Brady Singer – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Brady Singer has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    JJ Bleday – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Washington’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for JJ Bleday, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Tyler Stephenson, Eugenio Suarez).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Washington Nationals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Brad Lord – Over\/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Brad Lord will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters today.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jose Tena – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jose Tena has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Washington Nationals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.75 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+4.35 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        CJ Abrams – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-250\/+190)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals +100O\/U: 9(-115\/-105)-120 Cincinnati Reds Insights Brady Singer – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115) Brady Singer has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":475518,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,34,15,285,73,282,281,774,11],"class_list":["post-475517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-brady-singer","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-expert-picks","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-trevor-williams","tag-washington-nationals"],"yoast_head":"\nCheck Out Picks and Betting Guide for Reds vs Nationals - 8\/09\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals on August 9, 2026. 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