{"id":46992,"date":"2024-08-18T05:25:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-18T09:25:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/learn-from-the-match-preview-yankees-vs-tigers-game-forecast-august-18-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-08-18T19:13:02","modified_gmt":"2024-08-18T23:13:02","slug":"learn-from-the-match-preview-yankees-vs-tigers-game-forecast-august-18-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/learn-from-the-match-preview-yankees-vs-tigers-game-forecast-august-18-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Learn from the Match Preview: Yankees vs Tigers Game Forecast &#8211; August 18, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYY.png\" alt=\"New York Yankees logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Yankees<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/DET.png\" alt=\"Detroit Tigers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Detroit Tigers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+110<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-130<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees prepare for their showdown on August 18, 2024, they are coming off an intriguing matchup the day prior, where the Tigers delivered a convincing 4-0 shutout against the Yankees. This game marks the third in a series where the Tigers aim to build on their recent momentum.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, the Tigers sit at 60-64, having demonstrated a below-average season overall. Conversely, the Yankees, with a commendable record of 73-51, are enjoying a strong campaign. While the Yankees boast the 1st best offense in MLB, the Tigers struggle offensively, ranked 26th overall, making this matchup particularly compelling.<\/p>\n<p>Detroit is set to send out ace Tarik Skubal, who has been nothing short of phenomenal this season. Skubal&#8217;s Win\/Loss record is an impressive 14-4, with a standout ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">2.53<\/a>. The advanced-stat Power Rankings indicate he is the 1st best starting pitcher in MLB. On the other side, the Yankees will counter with Marcus Stroman, who has had a less stellar season with an 8-6 record and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.01<\/a>. Stroman&#8217;s 4.79 xFIP suggests he has benefited from a bit of luck, which might catch up to him against a skilled pitcher like Skubal.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of recent performance, Skubal&#8217;s last outing on August 13 saw him pitch 6 innings, allowing only 1 earned run while striking out 9. Meanwhile, the Yankees&#8217; offense, despite their potency, will be tested by Skubal&#8217;s strong control and high strikeout rates. The projections suggest a close matchup, with the Tigers suggested to have a slight edge in this contest, reflecting their potential to continue their winning ways against the Yankees.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Yankees Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Marcus Stroman &#8211; Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tallying 93.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Marcus Stroman places in the 82nd percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Anthony Volpe &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Anthony Volpe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Gleyber Torres &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In today&#8217;s matchup, Gleyber Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.4% rate (90th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Detroit Tigers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tarik Skubal &#8211; Over\/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tarik Skubal&#8217;s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (53.5 compared to 48.1% last year) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kerry Carpenter &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Kerry Carpenter has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 99-mph in the past 7 days.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tarik Skubal &#8211; Over\/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers&#8217;s expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Detroit Tigers &#8211; Run Line -1.5 (+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.45 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 90 games (+20.20 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Austin Wells &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.85 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"1.15.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees prepare for their showdown on August 18, 2024, they are coming off an intriguing matchup the day prior, where the Tigers delivered&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":46993,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,437,23,250,248,251,241,62,242,249,243,73,13,662,246,239,240,253,245,348,252,244,181],"class_list":["post-46992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-anthony-volpe","tag-detroit-tigers","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-insights","tag-marcus-stroman","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-yankees","tag-oswald-peraza","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-score-prediction","tag-simulation","tag-tarik-skubal","tag-team-stats","tag-winning-probability","tag-zach-mckinstry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Learn from the Match Preview: Yankees vs Tigers Game Forecast - August 18, 2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers on August 18, 2024. 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