{"id":459022,"date":"2026-07-28T04:02:06","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T08:02:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/score-updates-for-cubs-vs-cardinals-7-28-26\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T23:43:03","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T03:43:03","slug":"score-updates-for-cubs-vs-cardinals-7-28-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/score-updates-for-cubs-vs-cardinals-7-28-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Score Updates for Cubs vs Cardinals – 7\/28\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-110<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong’s true offensive skill to be a .347, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .048 gap between that figure and his actual .395 wOBA.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Chicago Cubs bullpen ranks as the 3rd-worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Michael McGreevy – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Recording 17.2 outs per start this year on average, Michael McGreevy places in the 82nd percentile.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Nathan Church – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      In the last two weeks, Nathan Church’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Lars Nootbaar – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% \u2014 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        St. Louis Cardinals – Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.15 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Chicago Cubs – Run Line -1.5 (+150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+11.10 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Nico Hoerner – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1200\/-8000)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+7.00 Units \/ 175% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals -110O\/U: 8.5(-120\/+100)-110 Chicago Cubs Insights Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-110) The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":459023,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,14,271,264,259,257,266,865,261,268,1196,498,273,267,270,73,263,484,272,17,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-459022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-hunter-dobbins","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-jimmy-crooks-iii","tag-lars-nootbaar","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-pete-crow-armstrong","tag-score","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"\nScore Updates for Cubs vs Cardinals - 7\/28\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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