{"id":458942,"date":"2026-07-28T01:22:04","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T05:22:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/updated-player-rankings-for-d-backs-vs-pirates-july-28th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T20:17:03","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T00:17:03","slug":"updated-player-rankings-for-d-backs-vs-pirates-july-28th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/updated-player-rankings-for-d-backs-vs-pirates-july-28th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Updated Player Rankings for D-Backs vs Pirates – July 28th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Arizona<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-110<\/span>O\/U: 9
(-120\/+100)<\/span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Brandon Pfaadt will concede an average of 3.27 earned runs in this outing.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Corbin Carroll – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Corbin Carroll has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 95.8-mph over the last week.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen ranks as the 5th-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Bubba Chandler – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Bubba Chandler’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (54.9% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jake Mangum – Over\/Under 1.5 Hits (+160\/-205)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Arizona’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jake Mangum, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Ryan O’Hearn – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Ryan O’Hearn has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.15 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.85 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Esmerlyn Valdez – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130\/-165)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates -110O\/U: 9(-120\/+100)-110 Arizona Diamondbacks Insights Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115) The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Brandon Pfaadt… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":458943,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,340,1043,878,73,9,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-458942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-brandon-pfaadt","tag-bubba-chandler","tag-henry-davis","tag-mlb","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nUpdated Player Rankings for D-Backs vs Pirates - July 28th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates matchup on July 28, 2026. 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