{"id":45545,"date":"2024-08-17T05:08:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-17T09:08:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/explore-player-props-preview-for-guardians-vs-brewers-8-17-24\/"},"modified":"2024-08-17T22:53:03","modified_gmt":"2024-08-18T02:53:03","slug":"explore-player-props-preview-for-guardians-vs-brewers-8-17-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/explore-player-props-preview-for-guardians-vs-brewers-8-17-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Explore Player Props Preview for Guardians vs Brewers – 8\/17\/24"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Cleveland<\/p>\n

Cleveland Guardians<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Milwaukee<\/p>\n

Milwaukee Brewers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+100<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-105\/-115)<\/span>-120<\/span><\/div>\n

As the Milwaukee Brewers host the Cleveland Guardians on August 17, 2024, both teams find themselves in a competitive battle, with the Brewers currently holding a record of 70-52 and the Guardians at 72-50. This matchup features two teams in contention, with the Guardians performing slightly better so far this season. <\/p>\n

In their last meeting on August 16, the Brewers edged out the Guardians with a close 5-3 victory, showcasing their ability to win tight games. Milwaukee\u2019s Freddy Peralta is projected to take the mound, sporting a 7-7 record and a 4.11 ERA this season. While not perfect, advanced projections suggest he has been a bit unlucky, as his SIERA sits at 3.58, reflecting his potential for improvement. However, he faces a Guardians lineup that has been difficult to strike out, ranking 5th least in MLB in strikeouts.<\/p>\n

On the other side, Tanner Bibee is set to start for Cleveland, boasting a better record of 10-4 and an impressive 3.39 ERA. Bibee has shown strong control this season, with a low walk rate that could challenge a Brewers offense known for drawing walks, ranking 3rd most in MLB. This dynamic could shift the advantage toward Bibee, depending on how well the Brewers adjust.<\/p>\n

As a notable trend, while the Brewers rank 9th in offensive production, they struggle with home runs, sitting 20th in the league. That could play a crucial role against a Guardians team that boasts a solid offense but has been merely average overall. With the Game Total set at a low 7.5 runs and the projections giving a slight edge to the Brewers, bettors should expect another tightly contested match today.<\/p>\n

Cleveland Guardians Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jose Ramirez – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Milwaukee’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Jose Ramirez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cleveland Guardians’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Milwaukee Brewers Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Freddy Peralta – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Freddy Peralta has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 6.7 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jackson Chourio – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-205\/+160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jackson Chourio – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% \u2014 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 115 games (+16.20 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 111 games (+9.87 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Andres Gimenez – Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+180\/-235)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        As the Milwaukee Brewers host the Cleveland Guardians on August 17, 2024, both teams find themselves in a competitive battle, with the Brewers currently holding a record of 70-52 and… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":45546,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[6,334,521,462,22,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-45545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-cleveland-guardians","tag-freddy-peralta","tag-jackson-chourio","tag-jose-ramirez","tag-milwaukee-brewers","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nExplore Player Props Preview for Guardians vs Brewers - 8\/17\/24 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers matchup on August 17, 2024. 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