{"id":453732,"date":"2026-07-24T04:23:04","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T08:23:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-odds-and-expert-picks-for-blue-jays-vs-red-sox-7-24-26\/"},"modified":"2026-07-24T19:17:04","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T23:17:04","slug":"betting-odds-and-expert-picks-for-blue-jays-vs-red-sox-7-24-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-odds-and-expert-picks-for-blue-jays-vs-red-sox-7-24-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Blue Jays vs Red Sox 7\/24\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BOS.png\" alt=\"Boston Red Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Boston Red Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+110<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-120\/+100)<\/span><span>-130<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Trey Yesavage &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Trey Yesavage has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Daulton Varsho &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Daulton Varsho has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alejandro Kirk &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB&#8217;s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Boston Red Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Patrick Sandoval &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Caleb Durbin &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155\/-205)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Caleb Durbin has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.4-mph dropping to 82.4-mph in the last two weeks&#8217; worth of games.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211; Moneyline (-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+16.50 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Toronto Blue Jays &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.85 Units \/ 45% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Willson Contreras &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.15.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox +110O\/U: 8.5(-120\/+100)-130 Toronto Blue Jays Insights Trey Yesavage &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110\/-120) Trey Yesavage has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per start&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":453733,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[626,283,286,287,289,288,284,18,285,562,1070,73,282,1193,281,31,1054],"class_list":["post-453732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-alejandro-kirk","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-expert-picks","tag-jarren-duran","tag-kazuma-okamoto","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-patrick-sandoval","tag-picks","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-trey-yesavage"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Blue Jays vs Red Sox 7\/24\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox on July 24, 2026. 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