{"id":449844,"date":"2026-07-20T06:22:05","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T10:22:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/reds-vs-mariners-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-7-20-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T23:47:04","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T03:47:04","slug":"reds-vs-mariners-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-7-20-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/reds-vs-mariners-expert-picks-and-betting-guide-7-20-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Reds vs Mariners Expert Picks and Betting Guide &#8211; 7\/20\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CIN.png\" alt=\"Cincinnati Reds logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+120<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Andrew Abbott &#8211; Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Andrew Abbott has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dane Myers &#8211; Over\/Under Hits<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Dane Myers is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Eugenio Suarez &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% \u2014 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting them towards baseball&#8217;s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>George Kirby &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">George Kirby will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing bats today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colt Emerson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Colt Emerson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 69.8-mph over the past 7 days.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>George Kirby &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners&#8217;s expected catcher in today&#8217;s matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.55 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cincinnati Reds &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.70 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>JJ Bleday &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+190\/-255)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">JJ Bleday has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.22.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners +120O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-140 Cincinnati Reds Insights Andrew Abbott &#8211; Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115) Andrew Abbott has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":449845,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[381,283,286,287,289,288,284,372,15,75,285,370,73,282,281,4,65],"class_list":["post-449844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-andrew-abbott","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cal-raleigh","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-eugenio-suarez","tag-expert-picks","tag-george-kirby","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-tj-friedl"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Reds vs Mariners Expert Picks and Betting Guide - 7\/20\/2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners on July 20, 2026. 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