{"id":449581,"date":"2026-07-20T01:12:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T05:12:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/rays-vs-blue-jays-betting-guide-7-20-26\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T20:23:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T00:23:02","slug":"rays-vs-blue-jays-betting-guide-7-20-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/rays-vs-blue-jays-betting-guide-7-20-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Rays vs Blue Jays Betting Guide – 7\/20\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Tampa<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay Rays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Toronto<\/p>\n

Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+140<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-160<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay Rays Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Nick Martinez – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Nick Martinez has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of squaring off against 6 same-handed batters in this game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform worse against same-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be worse against a right-handed hitter). Losing this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Chandler Simpson – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-210\/+160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Chandler Simpson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 83.1-mph average to last season’s 81.1-mph EV.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Tampa Bay Rays with a 19% underlying K%.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been unlucky this year, putting up a .309 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .372 \u2014 a .063 disparity.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen grades out as the 6th-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Toronto Blue Jays – Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.35 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Junior Caminero – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+330\/-480)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+7.75 Units \/ 77% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays +140O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-160 Tampa Bay Rays Insights Nick Martinez – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155) Nick Martinez has a reverse platoon split and has the… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":449582,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,630,96,285,73,282,281,25,31,164],"class_list":["post-449581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-drew-rasmussen","tag-dylan-cease","tag-expert-picks","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-tampa-bay-rays","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-vladimir-guerrero-jr"],"yoast_head":"\nRays vs Blue Jays Betting Guide - 7\/20\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays on July 20, 2026. 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