{"id":446721,"date":"2026-07-18T00:47:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-18T04:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-twins-vs-cubs-saturday-july-18th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-07-18T14:28:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-18T18:28:02","slug":"expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-twins-vs-cubs-saturday-july-18th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-twins-vs-cubs-saturday-july-18th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Picks and Betting Line for Twins vs Cubs &#8211; Saturday July 18th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/MIN.png\" alt=\"Minnesota Twins logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Minnesota Twins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+135<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-155<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Minnesota Twins Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Taj Bradley &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Taj Bradley&#8217;s curveball rate has fallen by 5.8% from last season to this one (14.8% to 9%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luke Keaschall &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luke Keaschall has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.2-mph dropping to 80-mph in the past 14 days.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Minnesota Twins have been the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211;  Moneyline (-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pete Crow-Armstrong &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Despite posting a .393 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has been lucky given the .043 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Chicago Cubs bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; Run Line -1.5 (+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.50 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+14.80 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nico Hoerner &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-225\/+170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.05 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.5.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs +135O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)-155 Minnesota Twins Insights Taj Bradley &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145\/+115) Taj Bradley&#8217;s curveball rate has fallen by 5.8% from last season to this&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":446722,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,14,285,12,73,592,282,281,307],"class_list":["post-446721","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-expert-picks","tag-minnesota-twins","tag-mlb","tag-nico-hoerner","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-taj-bradley"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Expert Picks and Betting Line for Twins vs Cubs - Saturday July 18th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs on July 18, 2026. 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