{"id":446721,"date":"2026-07-18T00:47:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-18T04:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-twins-vs-cubs-saturday-july-18th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-07-18T02:57:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-18T06:57:02","slug":"expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-twins-vs-cubs-saturday-july-18th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/expert-picks-and-betting-line-for-twins-vs-cubs-saturday-july-18th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Picks and Betting Line for Twins vs Cubs – Saturday July 18th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Minnesota<\/p>\n

Minnesota Twins<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 9
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Minnesota Twins Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Taj Bradley – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Taj Bradley’s curveball rate has fallen by 5.8% from last season to this one (14.8% to 9%) .<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Luke Keaschall – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Luke Keaschall has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.2-mph dropping to 80-mph in the past 14 days.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Minnesota Twins – Moneyline (+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Minnesota Twins projected lineup profiles as the 5th-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Despite posting a .393 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has been lucky given the .043 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Chicago Cubs bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n
      <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs +120O\/U: 9(-110\/-110)-140 Minnesota Twins Insights Taj Bradley – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140\/+110) Taj Bradley’s curveball rate has fallen by 5.8% from last season to this… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":446722,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,14,285,12,73,592,282,281,307],"class_list":["post-446721","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-expert-picks","tag-minnesota-twins","tag-mlb","tag-nico-hoerner","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-taj-bradley"],"yoast_head":"\nExpert Picks and Betting Line for Twins vs Cubs - Saturday July 18th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs on July 18, 2026. 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