{"id":434546,"date":"2026-07-05T02:45:04","date_gmt":"2026-07-05T06:45:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/bets-and-betting-tips-for-cardinals-vs-cubs-july-05-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-07-05T06:22:03","modified_gmt":"2026-07-05T10:22:03","slug":"bets-and-betting-tips-for-cardinals-vs-cubs-july-05-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/bets-and-betting-tips-for-cardinals-vs-cubs-july-05-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Bets and Betting Tips for Cardinals vs Cubs – July 05, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+130<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-150<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Matthew Liberatore – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Matthew Liberatore’s 2103-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 6th percentile among all starters.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Nathan Church – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Nathan Church, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The St. Louis Cardinals bullpen profiles as the 4th-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Javier Assad – Over\/Under Pitching Outs<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Javier Assad has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 10.7 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Nico Hoerner – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-245\/+185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% \u2014 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Chicago Cubs – Over\/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.00 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+7.15 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Ivan Herrera – Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.70 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs +130O\/U: 8(-110\/-110)-150 St. Louis Cardinals Insights Matthew Liberatore – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155) Matthew Liberatore’s 2103-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":434547,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,14,285,44,529,73,1024,592,282,484,281,17],"class_list":["post-434546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-expert-picks","tag-javier-assad","tag-matthew-liberatore","tag-mlb","tag-nathan-church","tag-nico-hoerner","tag-odds","tag-pete-crow-armstrong","tag-picks","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"\nBets and Betting Tips for Cardinals vs Cubs - July 05, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs on July 5, 2026. 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