{"id":433138,"date":"2026-07-04T03:37:04","date_gmt":"2026-07-04T07:37:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-trends-and-expert-picks-for-cardinals-vs-cubs-saturday-july-4-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-07-04T23:57:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-05T03:57:02","slug":"betting-trends-and-expert-picks-for-cardinals-vs-cubs-saturday-july-4-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-trends-and-expert-picks-for-cardinals-vs-cubs-saturday-july-4-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Cardinals vs Cubs Saturday, July 4, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+145<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-165<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Kyle Leahy – Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Kyle Leahy will average a total of 2 singles in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The St. Louis Cardinals bullpen grades out as the 5th-best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Shota Imanaga – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Shota Imanaga has utilized his sinker 5.2% more often this year (6.4%) than he did last year (1.2%).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Nico Hoerner – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-245\/+185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      When assessing his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 17th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% \u2014 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Chicago Cubs – Run Line -1.5 (+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.10 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        St. Louis Cardinals – Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.90 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Michael Busch – Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Michael Busch has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs +145O\/U: 8(-110\/-110)-165 St. Louis Cardinals Insights Kyle Leahy – Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120\/-155) The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Kyle… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":433139,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,14,285,1072,73,592,282,484,281,172,17],"class_list":["post-433138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-expert-picks","tag-kyle-leahy","tag-mlb","tag-nico-hoerner","tag-odds","tag-pete-crow-armstrong","tag-picks","tag-shota-imanaga","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"\nBetting Trends and Expert Picks for Cardinals vs Cubs Saturday, July 4, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs on July 4, 2026. 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