{"id":431629,"date":"2026-07-03T01:04:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T05:04:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-nationals-game-7-3-26\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T02:52:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T06:52:02","slug":"betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-nationals-game-7-3-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-nationals-game-7-3-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Trends for Pirates vs Nationals Game – 7\/3\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Washington<\/p>\n

Washington Nationals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 9.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Mitch Keller – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Mitch Keller has relied on his slider 7.1% less often this season (25.9%) than he did last season (33%).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Esmerlyn Valdez – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-215\/+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Esmerlyn Valdez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    Pittsburgh Pirates hitters as a unit rank 10th- in the league for power this year when assessing with their 8.7% Barrel%.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Washington Nationals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Foster Griffin – Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Out of all SPs, Foster Griffin’s fastball velocity of 87.5 mph is in the 1st percentile this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jorbit Vivas – Over\/Under Total Bases<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jorbit Vivas has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.3-mph dropping to 76-mph over the last week.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      CJ Abrams – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% \u2014 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Washington Nationals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.95 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals +120O\/U: 9.5(-110\/-110)-140 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Mitch Keller – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120) Mitch Keller has relied on his slider 7.1% less often this season (25.9%)… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":431630,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,159,1179,285,376,73,282,281,9,11],"class_list":["post-431629","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cj-abrams","tag-esmerlyn-valdez","tag-expert-picks","tag-mitch-keller","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-washington-nationals"],"yoast_head":"\nBetting Trends for Pirates vs Nationals Game - 7\/3\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals on July 3, 2026. 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