{"id":429162,"date":"2026-07-01T02:39:06","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T06:39:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/pirates-vs-phillies-betting-line-and-odds-july-01-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T22:03:04","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T02:03:04","slug":"pirates-vs-phillies-betting-line-and-odds-july-01-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/pirates-vs-phillies-betting-line-and-odds-july-01-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates vs Phillies Betting Line and Odds – July 01, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Philadelphia<\/p>\n

Philadelphia Phillies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+125<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-145<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Paul Skenes – Over\/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Paul Skenes encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Henry Davis – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Henry Davis’s true offensive ability to be a .306, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .057 difference between that mark and his actual .249 wOBA.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Henry Davis – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% \u2014 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Philadelphia Phillies Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Zack Wheeler – Over\/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Among all starters, Zack Wheeler’s fastball spin rate of 2438 rpm grades out in the 82nd percentile this year.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Kyle Schwarber – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Kyle Schwarber has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 20.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Philadelphia Phillies – Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.45 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Bryson Stott – Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units \/ 69% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies +125O\/U: 8(-110\/-110)-145 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Paul Skenes – Over\/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155) With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":429163,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,530,285,120,73,282,130,32,281,9,568,118],"class_list":["post-429162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-bryan-reynolds","tag-expert-picks","tag-kyle-schwarber","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-paul-skenes","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-ryan-ohearn","tag-zack-wheeler"],"yoast_head":"\nPirates vs Phillies Betting Line and Odds - July 01, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies on July 1, 2026. 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