{"id":425048,"date":"2026-06-28T01:49:03","date_gmt":"2026-06-28T05:49:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/comprehensive-player-prop-odds-for-phillies-vs-mets-june-28-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-06-28T04:42:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-28T08:42:03","slug":"comprehensive-player-prop-odds-for-phillies-vs-mets-june-28-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/comprehensive-player-prop-odds-for-phillies-vs-mets-june-28-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Phillies vs Mets – June 28, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Philadelphia<\/p>\n

Philadelphia Phillies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"New<\/p>\n

New York Mets<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-150<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-110\/-110)<\/span>+125<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Philadelphia Phillies Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Jesus Luzardo – Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Out of all starters, Jesus Luzardo’s fastball velocity of 96.4 mph grades out in the 88th percentile this year.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Kyle Schwarber – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cionel Perez struggles to strike batters out (12th percentile K%) \u2014 great news for Schwarber.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Schwarber, Derek Hill, Brandon Marsh).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    New York Mets Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Cionel Perez – Over\/Under Pitching Outs<\/strong><\/div>\n
      The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Cionel Perez to be on a bit of a short leash in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Juan Soto – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150\/-195)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 98.7-mph figure last season has dropped to 96.2-mph.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      New York Mets bats collectively rank near the top of baseball this year (4th-) as it relates to their 89.5-mph average exit velocity.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+4.90 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.60 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets -150O\/U: 8(-110\/-110)+125 Philadelphia Phillies Insights Jesus Luzardo – Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120) Out of all starters, Jesus Luzardo’s fastball velocity of 96.4 mph grades… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":425049,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1172,125,501,120,73,33,32,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-425048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-cionel-perez","tag-jesus-luzardo","tag-juan-soto","tag-kyle-schwarber","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"\nComprehensive Player Prop Odds for Phillies vs Mets - June 28, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets matchup on June 28, 2026. 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