{"id":42418,"date":"2024-08-14T04:10:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-14T08:10:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/how-to-watch-astros-vs-rays-wednesday-august-14-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-08-14T18:53:02","modified_gmt":"2024-08-14T22:53:02","slug":"how-to-watch-astros-vs-rays-wednesday-august-14-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/how-to-watch-astros-vs-rays-wednesday-august-14-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Watch Astros vs Rays &#8211; Wednesday, August 14, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/HOU.png\" alt=\"Houston Astros logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Houston Astros<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TB.png\" alt=\"Tampa Bay Rays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Tampa Bay Rays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-130<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+110<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the Tampa Bay Rays prepare to face the Houston Astros on August 14, 2024, at Tropicana Field, both teams are coming off a tightly contested game yesterday, where the Astros edged the Rays 3-2. This matchup has significant implications as the Rays, currently with a record of 59-60, are looking to gain ground, while the Astros, sitting at 64-55, aim to solidify their position in the standings.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are projected to start Zack Littell, who has struggled this season with a 5-8 record and a 4.11 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>, ranking him as an average pitcher in the league. In his last outing, Littell pitched 5 innings, allowing 3 earned runs, which was deemed uneventful. He faces a challenging task against a potent Astros lineup led by Yordan Alvarez, who has been on fire recently, boasting a .429 batting average and 4 home runs over the last week.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, the Astros will counter with Ronel Blanco, who has a solid 9-6 record and an impressive 3.02 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>. Despite being ranked among the worst pitchers in MLB according to advanced metrics, Blanco has managed to maintain a competitive edge. His ability to limit home runs will be crucial against a Rays offense that ranks 26th in the league for home runs this season.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, projections suggest that the Rays may have a better chance than the betting markets indicate, with some estimates giving them a 54% win probability. This discrepancy could signal value for bettors looking to back Tampa Bay in what is expected to be another close contest, especially given their strong bullpen, ranked 7th in the league. With both teams aiming to capitalize on their recent performances, this game promises to be an intriguing showdown in the AL.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Houston Astros Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ronel Blanco &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+135\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ronel Blanco&#8217;s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (62.4% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Yordan Alvarez &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Yordan Alvarez has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.5% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the last 7 days.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Houston Astros &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Houston Astros&#8217; bullpen grades out as the 6th-best among all teams in the majors.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Tampa Bay Rays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Zack Littell &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Zack Littell&#8217;s fastball velocity has decreased 1.4 mph this season (92 mph) below where it was last season (93.4 mph).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ben Rortvedt &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ben Rortvedt has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 76.4-mph over the last two weeks.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Yandy Diaz &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting them towards MLB&#8217;s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tampa Bay Rays &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 69 of their last 112 games (+22.60 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Houston Astros &#8211; Run Line -1.5 (+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Houston Astros have hit the Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games (+13.45 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Yandy Diaz &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.2.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Tampa Bay Rays prepare to face the Houston Astros on August 14, 2024, at Tropicana Field, both teams are coming off a tightly contested game yesterday, where the&hellip; 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