{"id":421410,"date":"2026-06-25T01:07:03","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T05:07:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-mariners-vs-pirates-thursday-june-25-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T03:22:02","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T07:22:02","slug":"find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-mariners-vs-pirates-thursday-june-25-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/find-the-best-player-prop-bets-for-mariners-vs-pirates-thursday-june-25-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Mariners vs Pirates &#8211; Thursday June 25, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/PIT.png\" alt=\"Pittsburgh Pirates logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-140<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+120<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bryce Miller &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Recording 18 outs per GS this year on average, Bryce Miller checks in at the 91st percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cal Raleigh &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh&#8217;s true offensive talent to be a .345, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .093 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bryce Miller &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners&#8217;s expected catcher in today&#8217;s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bubba Chandler &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Seattle Mariners have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Spencer Horwitz &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-230\/+175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pittsburgh Pirates &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates&#8217; bullpen grades out as the 9th-best among all major league teams.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.4.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates -140O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)+120 Seattle Mariners Insights Bryce Miller &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-155\/+120) Recording 18 outs per GS this year on average, Bryce Miller checks&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":421411,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[411,1043,38,73,9,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,4,781],"class_list":["post-421410","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bryce-miller","tag-bubba-chandler","tag-julio-rodriguez","tag-mlb","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-spencer-horwitz"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Mariners vs Pirates - Thursday June 25, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates matchup on June 25, 2026. 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