{"id":418311,"date":"2026-06-23T02:35:02","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T06:35:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-odds-and-picks-for-mariners-vs-pirates-6-23-26\/"},"modified":"2026-06-23T20:12:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-24T00:12:03","slug":"betting-odds-and-picks-for-mariners-vs-pirates-6-23-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-odds-and-picks-for-mariners-vs-pirates-6-23-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Odds and Picks for Mariners vs Pirates – 6\/23\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Seattle<\/p>\n

Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-135<\/span>O\/U: 9
(-110\/-110)<\/span>+115<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Cal Raleigh – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year, posting a .252 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 \u2014 a .093 deviation.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    Seattle’s 92.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #8 team in the league this year by this metric.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Mitch Keller – Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Mitch Keller has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Spencer Horwitz – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-235\/+180)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Spencer Horwitz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Ryan O’Hearn – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Ryan O’Hearn has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Seattle Mariners – Over\/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units \/ 89% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Cole Young – Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.95 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates -135O\/U: 9(-110\/-110)+115 Seattle Mariners Insights Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-135) Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Explain:… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":418312,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,285,376,73,282,281,9,4,781],"class_list":["post-418311","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-mitch-keller","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-spencer-horwitz"],"yoast_head":"\nBetting Odds and Picks for Mariners vs Pirates - 6\/23\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on June 23, 2026. 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