{"id":415620,"date":"2026-06-21T03:16:04","date_gmt":"2026-06-21T07:16:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-insights-for-blue-jays-vs-cubs-6-21-26\/"},"modified":"2026-08-06T23:52:03","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T03:52:03","slug":"player-insights-for-blue-jays-vs-cubs-6-21-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-insights-for-blue-jays-vs-cubs-6-21-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Insights for Blue Jays vs Cubs &#8211; 6\/21\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-110<\/span><span>O\/U: 7<br \/>(-120\/+100)<\/span><span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dylan Cease &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Compared to the average starting pitcher, Dylan Cease has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 10.5 adjusted pitches each outing.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Myles Straw &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-220\/+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Myles Straw is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alejandro Kirk &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league&#8217;s 5th-deepest RF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>David Peterson &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pete Crow-Armstrong &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90-mph figure.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211;  Moneyline (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The best projected offense of the day in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Chicago Cubs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; Run Line +1.5 (-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+14.95 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alejandro Kirk &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+140\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.9.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs -110O\/U: 7(-120\/+100)-110 Toronto Blue Jays Insights Dylan Cease &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-175\/+135) Compared to the average starting pitcher, Dylan Cease has been&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":415621,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[14,96,73,592,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,31],"class_list":["post-415620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-dylan-cease","tag-mlb","tag-nico-hoerner","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-toronto-blue-jays"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Player Insights for Blue Jays vs Cubs - 6\/21\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs matchup on June 21, 2026. 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