{"id":40175,"date":"2024-08-12T04:37:01","date_gmt":"2024-08-12T08:37:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/explore-the-top-player-prop-picks-for-braves-vs-giants-august-12th-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-08-12T21:48:02","modified_gmt":"2024-08-13T01:48:02","slug":"explore-the-top-player-prop-picks-for-braves-vs-giants-august-12th-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/explore-the-top-player-prop-picks-for-braves-vs-giants-august-12th-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Explore the Top Player Prop Picks for Braves vs Giants &#8211; August 12th, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Atlanta Braves logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Atlanta Braves<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SF.png\" alt=\"San Francisco Giants logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Francisco Giants<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-110<\/span><span>O\/U: 6.5<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants will host the Atlanta Braves on August 12, 2024, in what promises to be an intriguing National League matchup. Both teams are currently hovering around the .500 mark, with the Giants sitting at 61-59 and the Braves at 61-56. While both teams have had their ups and downs, the Braves are enjoying a slightly better season overall.<\/p>\n<p>In their last game on August 11, the Giants played the Detroit Tigers and narrowly lost 5-4. The Giants will look to bounce back with Blake Snell on the mound, a left-hander who, despite a modest 2-3 record and a 4.31 ERA this season, ranks as the 18th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. However, Snell has been somewhat unlucky this year, with a lower 3.39 xFIP suggesting he could perform better moving forward.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves will counter with Chris Sale, an elite lefty boasting a 13-3 record and a stellar 2.75 ERA, placing him 4th in Power Rankings. Sale has a solid track record this season, and while he had a rocky performance in his last outing, allowing 2 earned runs despite giving up 9 hits, he still managed to keep the damage controlled.<\/p>\n<p>The projections indicate a close contest, with the Braves slightly favored to win. They have been bolstered by Marcell Ozuna, who has been outstanding this season with 35 home runs and a .963 OPS. Meanwhile, the Giants will rely on Matt Chapman as their top hitter, who has contributed significantly but may need more support from the lineup.<\/p>\n<p>Both teams are well aware that every game counts as they push through the final stretch of the season. With both pitchers capable of dominant performances, this game could very well come down to which offense can capitalize on the opposing pitcher&#8217;s mistakes. Expect a low-scoring affair with the Game Total set at just 6.5 runs.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Atlanta Braves Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chris Sale &#8211; Over\/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Chris Sale&#8217;s four-seam fastball usage has dropped by 5.7% from last season to this one (43.1% to 37.4%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Marcell Ozuna &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, notching a .404 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 \u2014 a .054 difference.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Matt Olson &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% \u2014 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league&#8217;s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Francisco Giants Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Blake Snell &#8211; Over\/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Blake Snell&#8217;s 2450-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 90th percentile out of all starting pitchers.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tyler Fitzgerald &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tyler Fitzgerald has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Blake Snell &#8211; Over\/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Patrick Bailey, the Giants&#8217;s expected catcher in today&#8217;s game, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitch framing is a catcher&#8217;s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, &#8220;stealing&#8221; strikes for his pitcher.  This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Francisco Giants &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 6.5 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 111 games (+20.70 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tyler Fitzgerald &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+700\/-1600)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 23 games (+43.40 Units \/ 189% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.3.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The San Francisco Giants will host the Atlanta Braves on August 12, 2024, in what promises to be an intriguing National League matchup. Both teams are currently hovering around the&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":40176,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10,409,168,292,391,639,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,27],"class_list":["post-40175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-blake-snell","tag-chris-sale","tag-marcell-ozuna","tag-mark-canha","tag-matt-olson","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-san-francisco-giants"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Explore the Top Player Prop Picks for Braves vs Giants - August 12th, 2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants matchup on August 12, 2024. 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