{"id":399774,"date":"2026-06-09T03:04:03","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T07:04:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/phillies-vs-blue-jays-picks-and-betting-odds-6-9-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-06-09T19:22:02","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T23:22:02","slug":"phillies-vs-blue-jays-picks-and-betting-odds-6-9-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/phillies-vs-blue-jays-picks-and-betting-odds-6-9-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Phillies vs Blue Jays Picks and Betting Odds – 6\/9\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Philadelphia<\/p>\n

Philadelphia Phillies<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Toronto<\/p>\n

Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-110<\/span>O\/U: 7
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Philadelphia Phillies Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Zack Wheeler – Over\/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Zack Wheeler has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording 3.3 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Bryce Harper – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Bryce Harper has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays only has 1 same-handed RP.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen projects as the 5th-best out of all major league teams.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Dylan Cease – Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-145\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Dylan Cease’s slider percentage has dropped by 9.6% from last year to this one (44.4% to 34.8%) .<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Brandon Valenzuela – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Brandon Valenzuela has been lucky this year, posting a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 \u2014 a .063 deviation.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% \u2014 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line +1.5 (-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.50 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.70 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Kazuma Okamoto – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.75 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays -110O\/U: 7(-110\/-110)-110 Philadelphia Phillies Insights Zack Wheeler – Over\/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+115\/-145) Zack Wheeler has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":399775,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,1148,96,285,567,73,282,32,281,31,164,118],"class_list":["post-399774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-brandon-valenzuela","tag-dylan-cease","tag-expert-picks","tag-j-t-realmuto","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-philadelphia-phillies","tag-picks","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-vladimir-guerrero-jr","tag-zack-wheeler"],"yoast_head":"\nPhillies vs Blue Jays Picks and Betting Odds - 6\/9\/2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays on June 9, 2026. 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