{"id":394634,"date":"2026-06-05T03:12:03","date_gmt":"2026-06-05T07:12:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/pirates-vs-braves-betting-guide-6-05-26\/"},"modified":"2026-06-05T22:07:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-06T02:07:03","slug":"pirates-vs-braves-betting-guide-6-05-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/pirates-vs-braves-betting-guide-6-05-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates vs Braves Betting Guide – 6\/05\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Atlanta<\/p>\n

Atlanta Braves<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 8.5
(-105\/-115)<\/span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Mitch Keller – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Mitch Keller has averaged 17.1 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Oneil Cruz – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Oneil Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 17% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last 7 days.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Henry Davis – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% \u2014 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Atlanta Braves Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Martin Perez – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Martin Perez has gone to his cutter 7.2% less often this year (20.2%) than he did last season (27.4%).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Matt Olson – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Matt Olson has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 95.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The Atlanta Braves have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Atlanta Braves – Over\/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+12.90 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units \/ 66% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Nick Gonzales – Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.60 Units \/ 143% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves +120O\/U: 8.5(-105\/-115)-140 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Mitch Keller – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-120\/-110) Mitch Keller has averaged 17.1 outs per outing this year, grading out… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":394635,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10,283,286,287,289,288,284,285,878,292,199,376,73,282,281,9,901],"class_list":["post-394634","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-henry-davis","tag-marcell-ozuna","tag-martin-perez","tag-mitch-keller","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-ronald-acuna-jr"],"yoast_head":"\nPirates vs Braves Betting Guide - 6\/05\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves on June 5, 2026. 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