{"id":39027,"date":"2024-08-11T01:23:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-11T05:23:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-props-preview-for-rangers-vs-yankees-8-11-24\/"},"modified":"2024-08-11T13:47:02","modified_gmt":"2024-08-11T17:47:02","slug":"player-props-preview-for-rangers-vs-yankees-8-11-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-props-preview-for-rangers-vs-yankees-8-11-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Props Preview for Rangers vs Yankees – 8\/11\/24"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Texas<\/p>\n

Texas Rangers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"New<\/p>\n

New York Yankees<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 9.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-145<\/span><\/div>\n

As the New York Yankees prepare to face the Texas Rangers on August 11, 2024, they find themselves in a crucial matchup after dropping their last game against the Rangers by a score of 9-4. Currently, the Yankees hold a strong record of 69-49, positioning themselves well in the American League, while the Rangers sit at 55-62, struggling to find their footing this season.<\/p>\n

The Yankees are projected to start Marcus Stroman, who has had an inconsistent season, evidenced by his recent performance where he was blown up for 7 earned runs in just 3 innings on August 2. His ERA of 4.10<\/a> suggests he has been somewhat fortunate this year, and he is ranked as the 141st best starting pitcher in the league. However, he is facing a Rangers offense that ranks 25th overall, which could provide an opportunity for him to bounce back.<\/p>\n

On the other side, Andrew Heaney will take the mound for Texas. Heaney has been struggling as well, with a 4-11 record and poor projections for today\u2019s game, including an average of 2.8 earned runs allowed over 4.5 innings pitched. His low walk rate could be tested against a Yankees lineup that is patient but has been known to strike out.<\/p>\n

The Yankees boast the 1st best offense in MLB, highlighted by their power with 149 home runs this season, and they are facing a pitcher like Heaney who allows a high flyball percentage. This matchup could tilt in favor of the Yankees, especially given the projections that indicate they will score an average of 5.32 runs in this game. With a high implied team total of 5.09 runs, New York looks poised to capitalize on their offensive strengths against a struggling Texas team.<\/p>\n

Texas Rangers Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Andrew Heaney – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Andrew Heaney’s 90.9-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1-mph decline from last season’s 91.9-mph figure.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Corey Seager – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Nate Lowe – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    New York Yankees Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s matchup, Marcus Stroman may not stay in the game more than a couple innings considering he will function as more of an opener.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Aaron Judge – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Aaron Judge has posted a .444 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      <\/strong><\/div>\n
      The New York Yankees have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm Jr.).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+18.55 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Nate Lowe – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+640\/-1300)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+15.00 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        As the New York Yankees prepare to face the Texas Rangers on August 11, 2024, they find themselves in a crucial matchup after dropping their last game against the Rangers… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":39028,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[309,296,539,62,73,403,13,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,28],"class_list":["post-39027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-andrew-heaney","tag-corey-seager","tag-dj-lemahieu","tag-marcus-stroman","tag-mlb","tag-nate-lowe","tag-new-york-yankees","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-texas-rangers"],"yoast_head":"\nPlayer Props Preview for Rangers vs Yankees - 8\/11\/24 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees matchup on August 11, 2024. 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