{"id":388307,"date":"2026-05-31T06:21:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T10:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/examine-the-cubs-vs-cardinals-prediction-and-team-stats-analysis-sunday-may-31-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-31T06:52:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T10:52:05","slug":"examine-the-cubs-vs-cardinals-prediction-and-team-stats-analysis-sunday-may-31-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/examine-the-cubs-vs-cardinals-prediction-and-team-stats-analysis-sunday-may-31-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Examine the Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction and Team Stats Analysis &#8211; Sunday, May 31, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/STL.png\" alt=\"St. Louis Cardinals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-110<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-120\/+100)<\/span><span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jordan Wicks &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Compared to the average pitcher, Jordan Wicks has been granted a shorter leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an -21.7 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ian Happ &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Barrel% of Ian Happ has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.1% last year to 15.4% this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Dansby Swanson &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% \u2014 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league&#8217;s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Matthew Liberatore &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Matthew Liberatore&#8217;s cutter utilization has decreased by 6.2% from last season to this one (10.6% to 4.4%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Masyn Winn &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155\/-205)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">From last season to this one, Masyn Winn&#8217;s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.6 mph to 84.2 mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Victor Scott II, Thomas Saggese, Nelson Velazquez).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.45 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago Cubs &#8211; Moneyline (-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.95 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alex Bregman &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.70 Units \/ 62% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"1.14.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals -110O\/U: 8.5(-120\/+100)-110 Chicago Cubs Insights Jordan Wicks &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-155\/+120) Compared to the average pitcher, Jordan Wicks has been granted a&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":388308,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,14,533,250,248,251,820,241,733,280,242,249,243,529,73,246,239,240,253,245,17,252,244],"class_list":["post-388307","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-dansby-swanson","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-ian-happ","tag-insights","tag-jordan-wicks","tag-masyn-winn","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-matthew-liberatore","tag-mlb","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-score-prediction","tag-simulation","tag-st-louis-cardinals","tag-team-stats","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Examine the Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction and Team Stats Analysis - Sunday, May 31, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals on May 31, 2026. 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