{"id":388221,"date":"2026-05-31T05:21:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T09:21:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/d-backs-vs-mariners-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-sunday-may-31-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-31T16:17:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T20:17:02","slug":"d-backs-vs-mariners-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-sunday-may-31-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/d-backs-vs-mariners-expert-picks-and-betting-tips-sunday-may-31-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"D-Backs vs Mariners Expert Picks and Betting Tips &#8211; Sunday May 31, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ARI.png\" alt=\"Arizona Diamondbacks logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+125<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>-145<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Arizona Diamondbacks &#8211;  Moneyline (+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ildemaro Vargas &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ildemaro Vargas&#8217;s true offensive talent to be a .273, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .074 gap between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Arizona Diamondbacks hitters collectively have been among the worst in Major League Baseball this year ( 7th-worst) when assessing their 88.3-mph average exit velocity.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Despite technically being the &#8220;starter&#8221; today, Bryce Miller may not last more than a couple framess since he will be treated as more of an opener.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning.  This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Luke Raley &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Luke Raley has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.7% rate last season to 20.7% this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Josh Naylor &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% \u2014 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he&#8217;ll be hitting them towards the league&#8217;s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seattle Mariners &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.15 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 away games (+6.05 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Julio Rodriguez &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+440\/-700)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Julio Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+15.30 Units \/ 255% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.11.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Arizona Diamondbacks @ Seattle Mariners +125O\/U: 7.5(+100\/-120)-145 Arizona Diamondbacks Insights Arizona Diamondbacks &#8211; Moneyline (+125) Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":388222,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[964,20,283,286,287,289,288,284,411,285,736,101,73,282,281,4],"class_list":["post-388221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-adrian-del-castillo","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-bryce-miller","tag-expert-picks","tag-luke-raley","tag-mitch-garver","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-seattle-mariners"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>D-Backs vs Mariners Expert Picks and Betting Tips - Sunday May 31, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners on May 31, 2026. 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