{"id":388065,"date":"2026-05-31T01:45:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T05:45:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/injury-report-for-braves-vs-reds-sunday-may-31st-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-31T01:45:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T05:45:02","slug":"injury-report-for-braves-vs-reds-sunday-may-31st-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/injury-report-for-braves-vs-reds-sunday-may-31st-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Injury Report for Braves vs Reds &#8211; Sunday, May 31st, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Atlanta Braves logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Atlanta Braves<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CIN.png\" alt=\"Cincinnati Reds logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Cincinnati Reds<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-135<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+115<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Atlanta Braves Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Atlanta Braves &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (39% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in the majors in this game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This pitcher&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ozzie Albies &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Lodolo.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Atlanta Braves in today&#8217;s game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .316, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .328 this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality.  If today&#8217;s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren&#8217;t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Cincinnati Reds Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nick Lodolo &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Considering the 0.52 discrepancy between Nick Lodolo&#8217;s 8.81 K\/9 and his 9.33 estimated true talent K\/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it&#8217;s safe to say he&#8217;s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should see positive regression in the future.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value on K prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>TJ Friedl &#8211; Over\/Under Hits<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">TJ Friedl has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Cincinnati Reds &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Cincinnati Reds bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.4.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds -135O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)+115 Atlanta Braves Insights Atlanta Braves &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130) Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (39% FB% via the&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":388066,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10,265,15,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,273,267,270,73,475,263,444,272,841,262,260,65,258,269],"class_list":["post-388065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-boxscore","tag-cincinnati-reds","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-mlb","tag-nick-lodolo","tag-official-lineup","tag-ozzie-albies","tag-score","tag-spencer-strider","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tj-friedl","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Injury Report for Braves vs Reds - Sunday, May 31st, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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