{"id":384861,"date":"2026-05-28T02:14:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T06:14:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/head-to-head-preview-cubs-vs-pirates-matchup-5-28-26\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T04:07:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T08:07:03","slug":"head-to-head-preview-cubs-vs-pirates-matchup-5-28-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/head-to-head-preview-cubs-vs-pirates-matchup-5-28-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Head-to-Head Preview: Cubs vs Pirates Matchup 5\/28\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Chicago<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+145<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-170<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Colin Rea – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Colin Rea’s change-up utilization has spiked by 6.3% from last year to this one (12.3% to 18.6%) .<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Seiya Suzuki – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    Chicago Cubs hitters as a unit grade out 7th- in the league for power this year when assessing with their 32.2% rate of hitting their flyballs and line drives 100+ mph.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> To hit a home run, the ball must be hit in the air and hit hard enough to clear the fence. This metric is a strong indicator of this kind of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Paul Skenes – Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Paul Skenes’s fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this season (96.5 mph) below where it was last season (97.5 mph).<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Marcell Ozuna – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+180\/-235)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Marcell Ozuna has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 97.8-mph over the past 7 days.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Henry Davis – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+205\/-275)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% \u2014 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n
      <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates +145O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-170 Chicago Cubs Insights Colin Rea – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-140) Colin Rea’s change-up utilization has spiked by 6.3% from last year to this… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":384862,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,14,184,250,248,251,878,241,292,242,249,243,73,130,9,246,239,240,253,389,245,252,244],"class_list":["post-384861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-colin-rea","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-henry-davis","tag-insights","tag-marcell-ozuna","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-mlb","tag-paul-skenes","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-score-prediction","tag-seiya-suzuki","tag-simulation","tag-team-stats","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"\nHead-to-Head Preview: Cubs vs Pirates Matchup 5\/28\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 28, 2026. 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