{"id":384848,"date":"2026-05-28T01:46:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T05:46:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-guide-and-odds-for-blue-jays-vs-orioles-thursday-may-28-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T18:43:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T22:43:03","slug":"betting-guide-and-odds-for-blue-jays-vs-orioles-thursday-may-28-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-guide-and-odds-for-blue-jays-vs-orioles-thursday-may-28-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Guide and Odds for Blue Jays vs Orioles &#8211; Thursday May 28, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BAL.png\" alt=\"Baltimore Orioles logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Baltimore Orioles<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+110<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-130<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Patrick Corbin &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher&#8217;s least effective pitch.  Patrick Corbin has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.2% less often this season (62%) than he did last year (68.2%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jesus Sanchez &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The 6.3% Barrel% of the Toronto Blue Jays makes them the #28 offense in the game this year by this metric.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Baltimore Orioles Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chris Bassitt &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Chris Bassitt&#8217;s 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 9th percentile among all starting pitchers.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pete Alonso &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Pete Alonso has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 95-mph figure.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Coby Mayo &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Coby Mayo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% \u2014 97th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball&#8217;s 4th-deepest LF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Baltimore Orioles &#8211; Run Line -1.5 (+160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+6.50 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Toronto Blue Jays &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.30 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Adley Rutschman &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+160\/-205)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units \/ 99% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.25.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles +110O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)-130 Toronto Blue Jays Insights Patrick Corbin &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-170\/+130) Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher&#8217;s least effective&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":384849,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[24,283,286,287,289,288,284,206,911,285,73,282,236,513,281,31,1136],"class_list":["post-384848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-baltimore-orioles","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chris-bassitt","tag-coby-mayo","tag-expert-picks","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-patrick-corbin","tag-pete-alonso","tag-picks","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-yohendrick-pinango"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Betting Guide and Odds for Blue Jays vs Orioles - Thursday May 28, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles on May 28, 2026. 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