{"id":380552,"date":"2026-05-25T04:53:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T08:53:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-mariners-vs-athletics-5-25-26\/"},"modified":"2026-05-25T21:43:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T01:43:02","slug":"check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-mariners-vs-athletics-5-25-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/check-out-picks-and-betting-guide-for-mariners-vs-athletics-5-25-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Mariners vs Athletics &#8211; 5\/25\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATH.png\" alt=\"Athletics logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Athletics<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-110<\/span><span>O\/U: 10.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-110<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jhonny Pereda &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Extreme groundball batters like Jhonny Pereda tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Civale.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This mostly has to do with the way the hitter&#8217;s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Seattle Mariners have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Athletics Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Aaron Civale &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Aaron Civale&#8217;s curveball usage has increased by 5.4% from last year to this one (17.4% to 22.8%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carlos Cortes &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Over the last 14 days, Carlos Cortes&#8217;s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Athletics &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Athletics bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+4.15 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seattle Mariners &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Julio Rodriguez &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Hits (+140\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+6.85 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.14.2\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"1\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seattle Mariners @ Athletics -110O\/U: 10.5(-110\/-110)-110 Seattle Mariners Insights Jhonny Pereda &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-185) Extreme groundball batters like Jhonny Pereda tend to perform better against extreme flyball&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":380553,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[429,796,283,286,287,289,288,284,285,573,441,101,73,282,281,4],"class_list":["post-380552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-aaron-civale","tag-athletics","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-jeff-mcneil","tag-luis-castillo","tag-mitch-garver","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-seattle-mariners"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Mariners vs Athletics - 5\/25\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics on May 25, 2026. 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