{"id":380438,"date":"2026-05-25T00:53:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T04:53:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-tips-and-odds-for-cubs-vs-pirates-monday-may-25th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-25T18:22:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T22:22:02","slug":"betting-tips-and-odds-for-cubs-vs-pirates-monday-may-25th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-tips-and-odds-for-cubs-vs-pirates-monday-may-25th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Tips and Odds for Cubs vs Pirates &#8211; Monday May 25th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CHC.png\" alt=\"Chicago Cubs logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago Cubs<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/PIT.png\" alt=\"Pittsburgh Pirates logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-125<\/span><span>O\/U: 8.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+105<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago Cubs Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ben Brown &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ben Brown has utilized his four-seamer 18.2% less often this season (39.9%) than he did last year (58.1%).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Moises Ballesteros &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+190\/-255)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">As it relates to his home runs, Moises Ballesteros has been lucky since the start of last season.  His 24.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Statcast-based Expected HR\/600 at 11.4.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Alex Bregman &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135\/-175)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Today, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league&#8217;s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.7% rate (89th percentile).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carmen Mlodzinski &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125\/-160)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Carmen Mlodzinski&#8217;s 2051-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 4th percentile among all SPs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Spencer Horwitz &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-220\/+165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Spencer Horwitz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Konnor Griffin, Jhostynxon Garcia).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Pittsburgh Pirates &#8211; 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.70 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.45 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Nick Gonzales &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Singles (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+5.65 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.6.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates -125O\/U: 8.5(-110\/-110)+105 Chicago Cubs Insights Ben Brown &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130) Ben Brown has utilized his four-seamer 18.2% less often this season (39.9%) than&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":380439,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[298,809,283,286,287,289,288,284,14,285,73,592,282,281,9,781],"class_list":["post-380438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-alex-bregman","tag-ben-brown","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-chicago-cubs","tag-expert-picks","tag-mlb","tag-nico-hoerner","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-spencer-horwitz"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Betting Tips and Odds for Cubs vs Pirates - Monday May 25th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 25, 2026. 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