{"id":376897,"date":"2026-05-22T02:05:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-22T06:05:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-odds-and-picks-for-pirates-vs-blue-jays-5-22-26\/"},"modified":"2026-05-22T19:18:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-22T23:18:02","slug":"betting-odds-and-picks-for-pirates-vs-blue-jays-5-22-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-odds-and-picks-for-pirates-vs-blue-jays-5-22-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Odds and Picks for Pirates vs Blue Jays – 5\/22\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Toronto<\/p>\n

Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+140<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-165<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Bubba Chandler – Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-180\/+140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Tallying 14 outs per GS this year on average, Bubba Chandler places in the 14th percentile.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Brandon Lowe – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Brandon Lowe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 100.3-mph over the past 7 days.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen ranks as the 7th-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Kevin Gausman – Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kevin Gausman has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.5% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      George Springer – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125\/-165)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      George Springer has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 30.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 35.2 Expected HR\/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% \u2014 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.30 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.65 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Jesus Sanchez – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays +140O\/U: 8(-110\/-110)-165 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Bubba Chandler – Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-180\/+140) Tallying 14 outs per GS this year on average, Bubba Chandler… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":376898,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,1043,285,816,430,73,282,281,9,31,164],"class_list":["post-376897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-bubba-chandler","tag-expert-picks","tag-jake-mangum","tag-kevin-gausman","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-vladimir-guerrero-jr"],"yoast_head":"\nBetting Odds and Picks for Pirates vs Blue Jays - 5\/22\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays on May 22, 2026. 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