{"id":376057,"date":"2026-05-21T01:40:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T05:40:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/expert-player-predictions-for-blue-jays-vs-yankees-thursday-may-21-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-21T01:52:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T05:52:02","slug":"expert-player-predictions-for-blue-jays-vs-yankees-thursday-may-21-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/expert-player-predictions-for-blue-jays-vs-yankees-thursday-may-21-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Player Predictions for Blue Jays vs Yankees &#8211; Thursday, May 21, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/TOR.png\" alt=\"Toronto Blue Jays logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Toronto Blue Jays<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYY.png\" alt=\"New York Yankees logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Yankees<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+145<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-115\/-105)<\/span><span>-165<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Toronto Blue Jays Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Braydon Fisher &#8211; Over\/Under Pitching Outs<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Braydon Fisher to be on a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Vladimir Guerrero Jr &#8211; Over\/Under Total Bases<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Daulton Varsho &#8211; Over\/Under Total Bases<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% \u2014 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball&#8217;s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Yankees Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carlos Rodon &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Carlos Rodon&#8217;s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (60.8 vs. 51.6% last season) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Paul Goldschmidt &#8211; Over\/Under Total Bases<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Paul Goldschmidt has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.1-mph average to last year&#8217;s 93.1-mph mark.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Yankees &#8211;  Moneyline (-165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Yankees projected lineup profiles as the best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.15.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees +145O\/U: 8(-115\/-105)-165 Toronto Blue Jays Insights Braydon Fisher &#8211; Over\/Under Pitching Outs The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Braydon Fisher to&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":376058,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[902,86,369,73,13,519,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226,31,164],"class_list":["post-376057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-braydon-fisher","tag-carlos-rodon","tag-daulton-varsho","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-yankees","tag-paul-goldschmidt","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends","tag-toronto-blue-jays","tag-vladimir-guerrero-jr"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Expert Player Predictions for Blue Jays vs Yankees - Thursday, May 21, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees matchup on May 21, 2026. 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