{"id":374898,"date":"2026-05-20T05:58:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T09:58:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-cardinals-game-5-20-26\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T09:32:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T13:32:04","slug":"betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-cardinals-game-5-20-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-cardinals-game-5-20-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Trends for Pirates vs Cardinals Game – 5\/20\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+100<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-115\/-105)<\/span>-120<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Carmen Mlodzinski – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Among all SPs, Carmen Mlodzinski’s fastball spin rate of 2047 rpm ranks in the 6th percentile this year.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Nick Gonzales – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-245\/+185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Nick Gonzales has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Michael McGreevy – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Michael McGreevy has recorded 17.1 outs per start this year, placing in the 78th percentile.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jordan Walker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jordan Walker has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year’s 92.3-mph EV.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
      According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen projects as the 7th-best among all major league teams.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Spencer Horwitz – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Spencer Horwitz has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals +100O\/U: 7.5(-115\/-105)-120 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Carmen Mlodzinski – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110\/-120) Among all SPs, Carmen Mlodzinski’s fastball spin rate of 2047 rpm ranks… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":374899,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,843,285,724,587,73,420,282,281,9,17],"class_list":["post-374898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-carmen-mlodzinski","tag-expert-picks","tag-jordan-walker","tag-michael-mcgreevy","tag-mlb","tag-nick-gonzales","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"\nBetting Trends for Pirates vs Cardinals Game - 5\/20\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals on May 20, 2026. 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