{"id":374898,"date":"2026-05-20T05:58:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T09:58:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-cardinals-game-5-20-26\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T19:52:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T23:52:03","slug":"betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-cardinals-game-5-20-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/betting-trends-for-pirates-vs-cardinals-game-5-20-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Betting Trends for Pirates vs Cardinals Game – 5\/20\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-105<\/span>O\/U: 7.5
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-115<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Carmen Mlodzinski – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Among all SPs, Carmen Mlodzinski’s fastball spin rate of 2047 rpm ranks in the 6th percentile this year.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Oneil Cruz – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Oneil Cruz has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy doesn’t generate many whiffs (6th percentile K%) \u2014 great news for Cruz.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    <\/strong><\/div>\n
    The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Konnor Griffin, Oneil Cruz, Jhostynxon Garcia).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Michael McGreevy – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (+115\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Michael McGreevy has recorded 17.1 outs per start this year, placing in the 77th percentile.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jordan Walker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jordan Walker has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year’s 92.3-mph EV.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
      According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen projects as the 7th-best among all major league teams.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-140)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Bryan Reynolds – Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+135\/-180)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals -105O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-115 Pittsburgh Pirates Insights Carmen Mlodzinski – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155) Among all SPs, Carmen Mlodzinski’s fastball spin rate of 2047 rpm ranks… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":374899,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,843,285,724,587,73,420,282,281,9,17],"class_list":["post-374898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-carmen-mlodzinski","tag-expert-picks","tag-jordan-walker","tag-michael-mcgreevy","tag-mlb","tag-nick-gonzales","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-pittsburgh-pirates","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"\nBetting Trends for Pirates vs Cardinals Game - 5\/20\/26 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals on May 20, 2026. 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