{"id":374858,"date":"2026-05-20T05:31:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T09:31:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/player-predictions-for-red-sox-vs-royals-may-20-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T22:47:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T02:47:03","slug":"player-predictions-for-red-sox-vs-royals-may-20-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/player-predictions-for-red-sox-vs-royals-may-20-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Player Predictions for Red Sox vs Royals &#8211; May 20, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/BOS.png\" alt=\"Boston Red Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Boston Red Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/KC.png\" alt=\"Kansas City Royals logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Kansas City Royals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-105<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-115<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Boston Red Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211;  Moneyline (-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the best among every team today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Isiah Kiner-Falefa &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Isiah Kiner-Falefa&#8217;s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 84.6-mph mark last year has fallen off to 81.4-mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Carlos Narvaez &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league&#8217;s deepest RF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Kansas City Royals Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Michael Wacha &#8211; Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Michael Wacha has averaged 19.1 outs per game per started this year, placing in the 99th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Kansas City Royals have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Kansas City Royals &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130\/+100)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Boston Red Sox &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.75 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Marcelo Mayer &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Runs (+180\/-235)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"4.5.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PLAYER\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals -105O\/U: 7.5(-110\/-110)-115 Boston Red Sox Insights Boston Red Sox &#8211; Moneyline (-105) The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the best among&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":374859,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[134,18,900,1047,5,601,179,73,231,234,230,229,227,228,225,233,232,226],"class_list":["post-374858","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bobby-witt-jr","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-carlos-narvaez","tag-connelly-early","tag-kansas-city-royals","tag-masataka-yoshida","tag-michael-wacha","tag-mlb","tag-player-analysis","tag-player-insights","tag-player-predictions","tag-player-prop-bets","tag-player-prop-odds","tag-player-prop-picks","tag-player-props","tag-player-rankings","tag-player-stats","tag-player-trends"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Player Predictions for Red Sox vs Royals - May 20, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top player props, prop odds, player picks, and prop bets for the Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals matchup on May 20, 2026. 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