{"id":372188,"date":"2026-05-18T05:27:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T09:27:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/white-sox-vs-mariners-preview-and-prediction-monday-may-18th-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T21:43:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T01:43:04","slug":"white-sox-vs-mariners-preview-and-prediction-monday-may-18th-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/white-sox-vs-mariners-preview-and-prediction-monday-may-18th-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"White Sox vs Mariners Preview and Prediction &#8211; Monday May 18th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CWS.png\" alt=\"Chicago White Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago White Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+135<\/span><span>O\/U: 7<br \/>(-115\/-105)<\/span><span>-160<\/span><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago White Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Noah Schultz &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Compared to the average starting pitcher, Noah Schultz has been given a below-average leash since the start of last season, throwing an -10.6 fewer adjusted pitches each game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Sam Antonacci &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-180\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Samuel Antonacci has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Colson Montgomery &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145\/+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% \u2014 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league&#8217;s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bryan Woo &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Bryan Woo&#8217;s sinker rate has dropped by 5.7% from last year to this one (25.7% to 20%) .<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker less often will likely be more effective than he used to be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>J.P. Crawford &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">J.P. Crawford has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season&#8217;s 89.7-mph EV.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Seattle Mariners &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.75 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago White Sox &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Team Total (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.10 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Miguel Vargas &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-150\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"1.1.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners +135O\/U: 7(-115\/-105)-160 Chicago White Sox Insights Noah Schultz &#8211; Over\/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-175\/+135) Compared to the average starting pitcher, Noah Schultz has been&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":372189,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[247,36,19,983,250,248,251,241,457,242,249,243,73,1090,246,239,240,1123,253,4,245,252,244],"class_list":["post-372188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-analysis","tag-bryan-woo","tag-chicago-white-sox","tag-colson-montgomery","tag-game-breakdown","tag-game-forecast","tag-head-to-head","tag-insights","tag-j-p-crawford","tag-match","tag-match-preview","tag-matchup","tag-mlb","tag-noah-schultz","tag-prediction","tag-preview","tag-rankings","tag-sam-antonacci","tag-score-prediction","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-simulation","tag-team-stats","tag-winning-probability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>White Sox vs Mariners Preview and Prediction - Monday May 18th, 2026 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Get an in-depth game preview and prediction for Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners on May 18, 2026. 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